LiontipsGolden State Warriors - Minnesota Timberwolves: betting tip and bets on the NBA match
Command Analysis
Current form
On May 11, Golden State fought like lions in the third game of the quarterfinals of the playoffs, but lost to Minnesota 97:102. The score in the series became 2-1 in favor of the Timberwolves. The first quarter ended in a draw, the Warriors took the second and third, but in the fourth they seemed to be replaced — a complete failure.
Without Stephen Curry, the team is like an orchestra without a conductor. Jimmy Butler became a hero with 33 points, seven rebounds and six assists — a real engine. Jonathan Cuminga supported with 30 points, and Buddy Heald added 14. Steve Kerr's team (48 wins, 34 losses) is seventh in the West in the regular season, and made it to the playoffs through the playoffs.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Warriors are waiting for a miracle from Curry, but his return is only possible for the sixth game on May 18 (hamstring injury). The rest of the squad is ready to fight.
Interesting betting trends
Golden State scores an average of 110 points in matches with Minnesota (statistics based on the results of the last ten games).
Approximate composition: Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Heald, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green.
Current form
Minnesota broke through the Warriors' concrete defense in the third game thanks to Anthony Edwards' magic. They were limited to 40 points in the first half, and Golden State led by two. By the end of the third quarter, the gap had grown to four, but then Edwards turned on superstar mode: his three-pointer six minutes before the end put the Timberwolves ahead, and another 80 seconds before the siren buried the hopes of the hosts.
Edwards scored 36 points, 13 of them in the fourth quarter. Julius Randle scored a triple-double (24 points, ten rebounds, 12 assists), and Jayden McDaniels added 15 points. Chris Finch's team (49 wins, 33 losses) is sixth in the West in the regular season.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Timberwolves arrived in San Francisco with full ammunition. All the stars are healthy and ready to fight.
Interesting betting trends
Minnesota scores 111 points on average in matches with Golden State (statistics based on the results of the last ten games).
The approximate line-up: Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Rudy Gober.
Trends
The Gober's Total Reboundsrateis more than 11.5
Gober's average is 10.7 rebounds per game
1.87Randle's Total Assistrateis more than 7.5
Randle's average score is 6.8 assists per match
1.88Tip and bets
The bookmakers are betting on Minnesota, and you can understand them: Edwards showed in the third match that he is a future superstar, and Randle's triple—double and Gober's defense are like a steel wall. The Timberwolves caught their nerve, and their three-pointers in the end were decisive. But Golden State at home in Chase Center, where the stands roar like a jet engine, is a completely different story. Butler and Cuming are ready to pull, and Green will hold the line like a fortress. Without Curry, the Warriors lose their spark, but their character doesn't go away. We expect that Minnesota will continue to bend its line and put the squeeze on speed and long-range shots. It's going to be a tough fight, but the Timberwolves will cover the odds, as they did in the third match.
Our betting tip is for Minnesota to win with a head start (-3.5) points, including overtime in 1.71
Bet on the total
The bookmakers have definitely caught the trend for low points in this series. The third match yielded only 199 points, the second — 210, and the first — a modest 187. The Warriors' attack is lame without Curry, but at home, under the roar of the stands, they should finally break a hundred. Minnesota, on the other hand, with Edwards and Randle, will throw like a machine gun. We are waiting for both teams to turn on the attack, and the points will flow like a river.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 202.5 points, including overtime in 2.02
The bet on the player
Butler was like a warrior in the third game: 11 points in the first quarter (five of the memes from the game), ten in the third (four of six). But in the second and fourth, when fatigue took its toll, he wilted — only 12 points at three out of 13. His average in the playoffs is 20.4 points, but after such a marathon, Butler may run out of steam. Without Curry, he's the Warriors' main engine, and Minnesota will throw all the defense at him, led by Gober. We expect Jimmy to fall short of his mark — not because of weakness, but because of fatigue and pressure.
Our betting tip is a total less than Butler (22.5) points for 1.98
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