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Payton Stearns - Naomi Osaka: betting tip for the WTA Rome match
Payton Stearns will play Naomi Osaka in one of the 1/8 finals matches in Rome on May 12. The American tennis player won a sensational victory over Madison Keys the day before. The representative of Japan played out on the ground and is now on an eight-match winning streak. Who has a better chance of reaching the quarterfinals today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Which reliable bets should I choose?
Command Analysis
Peyton Stearns
USACurrent form
Stearns is in the 1/8 finals for the second consecutive major tournament. In Madrid, she couldn't handle Arina Sobolenko at this stage. Now in Rome, Payton will have to play against Osaka, which is on the ground on an eight-match winning streak. The American beat Brancaccio (6-3, 6-2) and Kalinskaya (6-2, 6-3) in the tournament bracket in the Italian capital without losing sets. In the third round, she had the formidable Keyes in her opponents, the game dragged on for three sets, and Stearns snatched the victory only in a tie-break (2-6, 6-2, 7-6).
Professional qualities
The American is quite a diverse tennis player, knows how to reliably play on the backline, maintain a high tempo when exchanging shots. At the same time, Stearns is always ready to go on the attack, using the potential of her powerful forehand.
Current indicators in the tour
After the 1/8 finals in Madrid, Stearns updated her ranking record and is currently the 42nd racket in the world. Regardless of how the upcoming game ends, Payton will noticeably improve his position after Rome, as he does not defend any ranking points here. Since the beginning of the year, she has won 14 matches and suffered 11 defeats.
Interesting facts for betting
- In four of the last five matches, Stearns has played the minimum number of sets.
- In six consecutive matches with Stearns, no more than nine games were played in the first set.
Naomi Osaka
JapanCurrent form
Osaka played out on clay, won a not very prestigious tournament in Saint-Malo and went on to win in Rome. At the moment, her winning streak has reached eight matches. In the Italian capital, Naomi walks heavily on the grid. She beat Errani alone in two sets. Later, she had three-set wins over Golubich and Buzkova.
Professional qualities
Naomi has a powerful first serve and a strong forehand in her arsenal. Throughout her career, she was not particularly stable at the reception.
Current indicators in the tour
Osaka played 23 matches in 2025, of which 17 ended in its favor. She has eight wins and one loss on clay. Naomi is currently ranked 48th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the last two matches in Rome, Osaka played in three sets.
- In only one of Osaka's eight previous matches, more than nine games were played in the first game.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is how events unfolded on the court in four of Osaka's last five matches.
2.10Bet 2nd set: total more than 9.5 games
This bet took place in four of the six previous matches of the Japanese tennis player.
2.12Tip and bets
Osaka is on an eight-match winning streak, but she's obviously having a hard time, she's played three sets in the last two matches, and the margin of safety is clearly running out. Stearns snatched victory from Keys, holds the tournament at a high level for the second time in a row and is unlikely to be seriously inferior to her famous rival at the moment. According to the coefficients set, we recommend betting on the American woman's victory.
Our prediction is that Stearns will win with a coefficient of 2.20
Bet on the total
Both tennis players are on the move now, we can say, at the peak of their form. In Rome, Osaka managed to play two three-set matches, Stearns exchanged the games she won with Keys. There is a high probability that the upcoming game will not end quickly.
The second bet is a total of more than 21 games in 1.79
Bet on the first set
It should be noted that in the eight previous matches with Osaka, more than nine games were played only once in the first set. Accordingly, we recommend another betting tip for the match.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the second set with a coefficient of 1.75
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