Liontips
Newcastle - Chelsea: betting tip and bets with odds of 2.55
In the Premier League, the fight for places in the Champions League is in full swing. In the 36th round on May 11, direct competitors Newcastle and Chelsea will meet. The opponents not only have the same number of points scored, but also the same goal difference. In the face-to-face game of the first round, the aristocrats were stronger on their own field, and the magpies managed to take revenge in a home match in the League Cup. Who has a better chance of getting three points today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his bet on the match
Command Analysis
Newcastle United
EnglandCurrent form
In March and April, Newcastle had an impressive five-match winning streak in the Premier League and even rose to the top three for a while. Plus, there was a 2-1 victory over Liverpool in the League Cup final during the same period. However, recently the results have been somewhat declining. In the previous three rounds, the Magpies beat only Ipswich (3-0). Aston Villa suffered a complete setback – a 1-4 defeat away. In addition, they failed to defeat Brighton on the road, which is far from being at its peak (1-1). As a result, after 35 rounds, Newcastle is in fourth place with 63 points, the same number of points as today's opponent.
Eddie Howe's men had defensive problems. Brighton were allowed to land only two shots on goal, but one of them was accurate. The end of the meeting with Aston Villa was completely ruined when the opponent actually scored three goals in ten minutes in the second half.
The home field factor is important for Newcastle. At their stadium, the Magpies in the Premier League are currently on a five-match winning streak, with Crystal Palace (5-0) and Ipswich (3-0) defeated in the last two matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hall, Joel Clinton, Targett and Lascelles will miss the upcoming match. Entering the field of Cher is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In six of Newcastle's previous seven Premier League matches, at least three goals were scored.
- Newcastle have six wins in their last eight Premier League matches.
- Newcastle's winning streak in home matches in the Premier League has reached five matches
- In three of the last five matches, the Magpies have not won in the first half.
Approximate line–up: Pope – Trippier, Botman, Bern, Livramento – Guimaraes, Tonali, Willock - Murphy, Isak, Barnes.
Chelsea
EnglandCurrent form
Chelsea has been successfully fighting for a place in the top 5 throughout the season, and does not allow itself to have a long series of failures. At the moment, closer to the end of the tournament, the Londoners have given out a winless streak of six matches in the Premier League and are approaching the upcoming game in fifth place in the table, having an equal number of points with the upcoming opponent. Moreover, taking into account the Conference League, the Aristocrats have a five-match winning streak right now.
As expected, Chelsea easily reached the semifinals of the third most important European club tournament, the Swedish Djurgården (two wins with a score of 4:1 away and 1:0 at home). At the same time, Enzo Maresca habitually rotated the squad, there is definitely no need to talk about the fatigue of the leaders.
In the Premier League, Chelsea met Liverpool at home in the previous round and won a 3-1 landslide victory over the early champions. The aristocrats created much more scoring chances in that match than the opponent, there were no problems with the implementation. We should also mention reliable defensive actions: the Merseysiders scored only two shots on target. It's clear that Liverpool didn't have much motivation, but still, such a victory can add confidence to Chelsea's players.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anselmino, Kelliman, U. Fofana, D. Fofana and Nkunku will not play due to injuries. Entering the Giu field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four consecutive matches, Chelsea has won in the first half.
- In six of the eight previous matches of the aristocrats in the Premier League, more than three goals were not scored.
- Chelsea had lost by offside in six of their previous eight matches.
Approximate composition: Sanchez–Caicedo, Colville, Chalobah, Cucurella–Fernandez, Lavia–Madueke, Palmer, Neto–Jackson.
Trends
Bet Chelsea's Victory on Fouls
Newcastle have not won by fouls in four of their previous five matches.
1.62Chelsea'sbetis to score in the first half
In the last four matches, the Aristocrats have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
2.05The bet is an exact score of 1:1
Chelsea have not lost away in their last four matches.
6.70The Total Newcastle cornerrateis less than 5.5
This bet was played in 10 of the last 11 face-to-face matches on the Newcastle field in the Premier League.
1.69Chelsea's Yellow Card VictoryBet
In five of the previous six matches, Newcastle players received fewer yellow cards than their opponents.
1.65Tip and bets
In two head-to-head matches this season in the Premier League and the League Cup, the teams exchanged home wins. Today, taking into account the factor of its field, Newcastle gets the status of the favorite from the bookmakers, but in terms of the game and the results at the end of the season, Chelsea is hardly inferior to its direct competitor for a place in the Champions League. On the road, the Aristocrats have a four-match unbeaten streak, taking into account all tournaments. We had a failure with Aston Villa, we failed to take three points with Brighton. In fact, they've only had problems with the outsider Ipswich lately. We think, taking into account the coefficients set, it is worth paying attention to the bet on Chelsea's non-loss.
Our betting tip is that Chelsea will not lose by a factor of 1.72
Bet on the total
It's hardly worth waiting for an abundance of goals scored and open play today. The price of every point is too high for the opponents now. Plus, Chelsea clearly focuses on reliable defensive play, in six of the eight previous matches of the aristocrats in the Premier League, more than three goals were not scored. And in two head-to-head matches this season, Newcastle and Chelsea did not hit the goal more than three times.
The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.85
Combined bid
Taking into account our expectations, it would be logical to pay attention to the option of a combined bet with a high chance that Chelsea will not lose and no more than three goals will be scored in the match. According to this scenario, events unfolded on the field in the two previous guest matches of the aristocrats in the Premier League.
Prediction – Chelsea will not lose and the total is less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.55
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