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Liverpool vs Arsenal: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.00
The central event of the 36th round of the Premier League on May 11 will be the match between Liverpool and Arsenal. The leaders of the Premier League are meeting, but there is no intrigue in the fight for first place, as the Merseysiders won the title ahead of schedule. At the same time, the Gunners have not won a single victory in the last two rounds and risk missing out on second place at the end of the season. Who has the best chance of winning today and which bets to choose? - the answer is in our betting tip. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko, Igor Semshov and Alexander Mostovoy also share their opinions on the game
Command Analysis
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Immediately after securing the early Premier League title, Liverpool played a match in London against Chelsea and lost with a score of 1:3. The defeat was, as they say, by the game. The Aristocrats completely gave the ball to the Merseysiders, who, with 65% of possession, scored only two shots on target. First of all, there was a lack of speed in the development of attacks. Defeat should not only be attributed to a lack of motivation. It has long been noticeable from Liverpool's game that many players are simply tired, but even with the decent depth of the squad, the main focus throughout the season is on a core of five or six players, often a lot was decided by the individual skill of the same Salah. It's hardly worth waiting for a dramatic transformation and takeoff in the final matches, and even without serious motivation.
In fact, in the last five rounds, Liverpool had only one confident victory over Tottenham (5:1). The wins against outsiders West Ham and Leicester turned out to be strained, with an advantage of just one goal. And then there was the 2-3 away defeat to Fulham.
Arne Slot's team has a match against Arsenal ahead of them. And here it should be noted that in the framework of the Premier League, in the two previous matches on their own field, Liverpool did not defeat the Gunners, both times they dispersed peacefully. The face-to-face meeting of the first round in London also ended in a draw.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Gomez is injured and will not play today.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Liverpool have not won in the first half.
- In 8 of the 11 previous matches in the Premier League, the Merseysiders opened the scoring
- In three of the last four matches, Liverpool players fouled more often than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Alisson–Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson– Gravenberch, McCallister – Salah, Soboslai, Gakpo – Diaz.
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal have long had a chance to catch up with Liverpool in the fight for first place in the Premier League and have been clearly betting on the Champions League lately. Unfortunately for the fans, it was not possible to pass PSG in the semifinals. The opponent played both matches better than the Londoners, scored well-tracked victories away (1-0) and at home (2-1). Now we need to get back to the business at hand in the Premier League, where the Gunners have won only once in the last five rounds and have let Manchester City close to them.
In the previous round, Arsenal played Bournemouth on their own field, opened the scoring, but in the second half allowed the opponent to score twice (1:2). In terms of the game, the Londoners definitely played for at least a draw, but the cherries were too good in the implementation: two shots on target – two goals scored.
The Gunners have been successful on the road in the Premier League throughout the season, losing only twice. Yes, there were seven draws, but still they are not defeats. In terms of points scored in away matches, Arsenal is second in the league with 31 points in 17 matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Calafiori and Jorginho returned to the lineup for the second leg against PSG. At the same time, Gabriel, Jesus, Tomiyasu and Havertz are still in the infirmary.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal have won three of their last five matches in the first half.
- In seven of the previous eight matches, Arsenal did not lose on shots on target.
- In seven of the last ten matches in the Premier League, the Gunners have not won (five draws and two defeats)
- In five of the six previous league matches involving Arsenal, both teams scored goals.
Approximate line–up: Raya - White, Saliba, Kivior, Lewis–Skelly–Rice, Parti, Edegor - Saka, Merino, Martinelli.
Trends
Liverpool's Corner WinRate
In 9 of the last 10 face-to-face meetings on home turf in the Premier League, Liverpool have won on corners.
1.80Bet Arsenal will score in the first half
In the last three face-to-face matches, the Gunners scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
2.27The bet is an exact score of 1:2
Liverpool have lost two of their last five Premier League matches.
12.00The Liverpool Victory by Foulsbet
In three of the last four matches, Liverpool players fouled more often than their opponents.
1.81The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
In seven of Liverpool's nine previous matches, such a bet played
1.73Tip and bets
Liverpool at the end of the season does not look like a formidable force that is ready to destroy everyone in its path. In the previous five rounds in the Premier League, Arne Slot's team confidently dealt with Tottenham with a difference of more than one goal. As the match against Chelsea showed, there is not enough speed in the development of attacks, the aristocrats had no problems restraining the opponent's attack. Arsenal has a difficult trip to Paris under their belt, but now the tournament situation in the Premier League is such that there is nowhere to retreat, there is a chance of losing second place. The Gunners have not lost to Liverpool in the last two face-to-face matches at Anfield, and they parted ways with the world leader in the first round. We think that given the Merseysiders' lack of tournament motivation, the Londoners will have every chance to score at least one point today.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will not lose by a factor of 1.84
Bet on the total
Liverpool does not have excessive motivation right now, but they will obviously try to please the fans with a bright game on their own field, the Slot team is able to score on their own goal. At the same time, as the match against Chelsea showed, the Merseysiders have plenty of defensive mistakes, it is unlikely that they will be able to win back to zero today. In the previous three head-to-head matches, the rivals exchanged goals, which we are waiting for today.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.62
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Based, first of all, on the motivation of the opponents, we suggest playing a bold bet with a high coefficient that the guests will achieve victory with an advantage of one or two goals. Liverpool's last eight defeats of the season, taking into account all competitions, have been in this range.
The betting tip is for Arsenal to win by one or two goals with a coefficient of 4.00
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