Benoit Saint-Denis - Kyle Prepolek. Betting Tip for the fight

The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category Benoit Saint-Denis will face Kyle Prepolek. The fight will take place on May 11 as part of the UFC 315 tournament in Montreal (Canada) at the Bell Center multi-purpose venue, which can accommodate about 21,000 spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 05:00 Moscow time. Will the Frenchman be able to succeed in a duel with the Canadian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Benoit St.Denis

Current form
Benoit Saint-Denis, aka BSD, returned to his native Paris last year with high hopes, but Renato Moicano gave him a nightmare, beating him so that the fight was stopped after the second round due to terrible swelling around the Frenchman's eyes. Before that, Dustin Poirier knocked him out. These two defeats, like a cold shower, washed away the memories of a bright start in the UFC: 5 wins in 6 fights, all early, and three bonuses for the Performance of the evening.
Initially, Benoit was supposed to fight the formidable Joel Alvarez, but the Spaniard dropped out due to injury, and Kyle Prepolek came on as a replacement - not a star, but not a novice either. Saint-Denis, consider himself a lucky ticket, avoiding the top 10 fighter, but after such defeats, his confidence is questionable. Poirier knocked him out after 28 punches, Moikano landed more than 50 accurate hits — with such protection, there is nothing to catch in the lightweight elite. The 29-year-old Frenchman has 13 wins (four by knockout, nine by submission) and three defeats. He is ranked 13th in the division rankings.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Saint-Denis's punches is 53 percent.
Benoit has finished in the first round in seven fights in his career.

Kyle Prepolec

Current form
Kyle Prepolek, aka Killshot, is a Canadian fighter who returns to the UFC after an unsuccessful debut in 2019, where he lost both fights. Then he was sent back to the regional stage, and he responded with three wins in a row. In June 2024, Prepolek knocked out Brazilian Gustavo Wurlitzer in the first round of the BTC tournament.
A former Samourai MMA and Triple X Cagefighting champion, he earned the Samourai MMA title in 2021, which caught the attention of Dana White. The 35-year-old Canadian has 18 wins (10 knockouts, 4 decisions, 4 submission) and 8 defeats. This is his second chance in the UFC, and the fight with Saint-Denis is like a lottery ticket where you can hit the jackpot.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of the Prepolec strikes is 35 percent. Prepolek has finished opponents in the first round in seven fights in his career.
Trends
Prepolek's bet will win by knockout
Prepolek's knockout victory statistics are 56 percent
13.0Tip and bets
Saint-Denis must win. And the bookmakers are sure of it. But actually, betting against him looks very attractive. The Frenchman returns after two terrible defeats, got an opponent replaced at the last moment and now has to deal convincingly with a guy who was literally dragged off the street. Too much pressure, too little confidence. Something tells me that something unexpected might happen in this fight, and at this rate, it's worth taking the risk.
Our betting tip is Prepolek's victory in 7.00