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Alexa Grasso - Natalia Silva. Betting Tip for the fight
Alexa Grasso, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the women's lightest weight category, will face Natalia Silva. The fight will take place on May 11 as part of the UFC 315 tournament in Montreal (Canada) at the Bell Center multi-purpose venue, which can accommodate about 21,000 spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 05:20 Moscow time. Will the Mexican woman be able to succeed in a duel with a Brazilian woman and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Alexa Grasso
MexicoCurrent form
Alexa Grasso is a Mexican star who, after a trilogy with Valentina Shevchenko, seemed ready to rule the division. Her suffocating victory over the legendary Bullet in 2023 is like a plot for a movie where the underdog makes history. Grasso became the first Mexican UFC champion, the second after Brandon Moreno, and it was a triumph. But in September 2024, Shevchenko gave her no chance in her third fight, dominating all five rounds (unanimous decision).
Now the 31-year-old Mexican needs a bright comeback to get closer to the title again. She has 16 wins (four by knockout, two by decision, two by submission), four losses and a brown belt in BJJ. She holds the first place in the light heavyweight rankings, but now she needs a fight that will restore her faith.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Grasso's punches is 42 percent.
Alexa has finished her opponents in the first round in four fights in her career.
The success rate of takedowns is 40 percent.
Natalia Silva
BrazilCurrent form
Natalia Silva is a Brazilian hurricane who knows no defeats in the UFC. In 2019, she became the champion of Jungle Fight, made one defense, and in 2022 she broke into the strongest promotion on the planet. Since then, there have been nine fights, six wins, and a total winning streak of 12 fights. In September 2024, Silva defeated former champion Jessica Andrade by unanimous decision, and before that she defeated Vivian Araujo and Andreu Li (also unanimously).
The 28-year-old Brazilian has 18 wins (five by knockout, five by decision, three by submission), three defeats, a purple belt in taekwondo and a blue belt in BJJ. Fifth place in the division rankings is just the beginning, Silva is aiming for the title.
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The accuracy of Silva's punches is 48 percent.
Natalia's takedown success rate is 25 percent.
Trends
Bet The duel will be complete
The two fighters have 15 wins on points.
1.25Tip and bets
The bookmakers are betting on Silva, and you can understand them - the explosive style and confidence with which she dismantled Andrade. Silva is a young lioness who runs forward and strikes brightly. Defeating Grasso could open her way to a title fight, and she knows this is her chance. Grasso is a fighter with the heart of a lion. Her trilogy with Shevchenko showed that she can surprise, but the defeat in the last fight knocked her out of her rut. Her movement around the cage is a weak spot, and if the team does not find a solution, Silva will punish her in the rack. Grasso can cling to takedowns, but Natalia is too athletic to stay in the stalls for long. We expect Silva to be faster and brighter, drag the fight into the later rounds and take the victory by decision of the judges. It will be a fight where youth and drive will outweigh experience and character.
Our prediction is that Silva will win on points in 1.68
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