LiontipsAlianza Lima - Sao Paulo: betting tip (cf 2.35) and bets on the Copa Libertadores match (May 7, 2025) from UPU
Command Analysis
Current form
Alianza found itself in one of the most even and difficult groups of the Copa Libertadores, where it was initially considered a clear outsider. In the first round, Nestor Gorosito's team fully justified this status, losing 0:1 at home to Libertad. However, Los portillos rallied in time and sensationally took points away from Sao Paulo in the second round (2:2), demonstrating that they are quite capable of fighting even for the playoffs. In the last round of the Alliance, it was already quite expected that Talleres beat 3-2 at home, managing to be on the third line in the table – three points more than Sao Paulo, two points ahead of Libertad.
Disqualifications and injuries
Zambrano and Enrique were disqualified. Cantero is injured.
Interesting betting trends
- The Alliance has not lost in the last two group matches – a win and a draw.
- Alianza has never beaten Sao Paulo - four defeats and a draw
Approximate line–up: Vizcarra – Lagos, Velasquez, Noriega, Howman – Quevedo, Hernandez, Castillo, Gaibor, Castillo - Barcos.
Current form
Sao Paulo wasn't too lucky with the draw in the group stage, but even so, the tricolours were considered clear group favorites before the start of the Copa Libertadores. Luis Subeldia's team started with a very important 1-0 away victory over Talleres, who was considered the main competitor in the fight for the first place. Against the background of such success, a 2-2 draw against Alianza on their own field in the second round looks like an outright failure, but the tricolours rehabilitated themselves in the last round, beating Libertad 2-0 away and thus leading the group with seven points.
Disqualifications and injuries
Arboleda, Calleri, Igor, Luis Gustavno, Oscar and Maya are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last 11 matches, Sao Paulo has not lost – four wins and seven draws.
- In the last three away matches, Sao Paulo has scored
Approximate composition: Rafael – Franco, Rouen, Ferraresi – Wendell, Antonio, Alisson, Soares – Mateusz, Anderzinho, Ferreira.
Trends
The bet is an exact score of 0:1
Two of the last three matches of the "Alliances" ended with this score
5.75The Sao Paulobetwill score in the first half
In two of the last three away matches of Sao Paulo, such a bet was successful.
2.25The bet Total of the first half is less than 1.5 goals
In the last six home matches of Allianz, such a bet was successful.
1.25Tip and bets
Alianza surprised in the last two matches and joined the fight for the playoffs - now, in such fierce competition, the hosts have no right to make mistakes. Obviously, today it makes no sense to rely on adventurous football from los portillos, mainly the hosts will strive not to lose the match. Sao Paulo, in turn, does not play openly and today will also be focused primarily on the result, especially since the tricolours already have experience of the first match and today the Brazilians will obviously be as cautious as possible in defense. It hardly makes sense to count on a scoring extravaganza.
We believe that the match will not be productive. The betting tip is a total of less than two goals. This bet is offered with a coefficient of 1.85
Betting on the outcome
The Alliance performed very well in the matches against Talleres and Sao Paulo, but it is quite obvious that the Peruvians may not have enough safety margin for the entire group stage, the opponents are simply above the class. Sao Paulo is making perhaps the most powerful start to the season in many years, having confidently started in the Brazilian championship and the Copa Libertadores. Tricolor has a huge advantage in the class, and today they are quite capable of grabbing three points in a hard struggle.
The bet is the victory of Sao Paulo. This bet is offered for 2.35
Betting on corners
Sao Paulo is the favorite and will come for three points, the guests will obviously spend a lot of time ahead, but Alyansa is quite capable of responding at home, there should be a lot of corners.
The bet is a total of more than 8.5 corners. This bet is offered for 1.85
