Santiago Ponzinibbio as Daniel Rodriguez. Betting Tip for the fight

Santiago Ponzinibbio, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the welterweight category, will face Daniel Rodriguez. The fight will take place on May 4 as part of the UFC on ESPN 67 tournament in Des Moines (USA) at the Wells Fargo Arena multi-purpose venue, which holds about 16,000 spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 06:00 Moscow time. Will the Argentine be able to succeed in a duel with the American and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Current form
Santiago Ponzinibbio, as an experienced predator, reminded everyone that it was too early to write him off. In January 2025, he put on a heated show, snatching victory from Carlston Harris by technical knockout in the third round — and he did it the way only he knows how: on guard, with character and in a stance. Before that, the Argentine dagger had temporarily lost its grip — two painful defeats, from Holland and Salikhov, reminded that even veterans can stumble.
But 31 wins in the record is no joke. Moreover, 17 of them were by knockout, and this speaks for itself. Ponzinibbio is not just a fighter, he is a hurricane with a black belt in BJJ.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Ponzinibbio's punches is 42 percent.Ponzinibbio has finished in the first round in 14 fights in his career.

Daniel Rodriguez

Current form
Daniel Rodriguez is a guy who seems to look simple, but knows how to surprise every time. In October 2024, he got the better of the same Morono as Santi, and made it a split decision. The victory was needed like air, because before that, Rodriguez had three consecutive defeats, and Harry and Magni sent him on early leave, although they were not the worst in the division in terms of damage.
But Rodriguez is back in the game, and his 18 wins are a signal that he has the character and spirit of a fighter. Yes, he only has a purple belt in BJJ, but in battle he turns into a real street artist — rude, tenacious, and always ready to spoil the evening for his favorite.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Rodriguez's punches is 50 percent.Rodriguez has five early wins in the first round.
Trends
The bet is Ponzinibbio's victory on points
Ponzinibbio has seven wins by decision.
2.60Tip and bets
Bookmakers found it difficult to name a clear favorite of the upcoming match. In their opinion, Ponzinibbio will have a slight advantage. Rodriguez can throw punches like rain on a roof. But they don't have much power. In Ponzinibbio, on the contrary, every hit sounds like a shot, but his pace is no longer the same. At the same time, Santi goes forward like a tank, catches blows, but does not retreat. Rodriguez, in turn, plays from number two, and if the counterattacks come in, he can score points from the judges. But it's going to be hard without accent hits. We expect a fight at the net, tight exchanges and nervous reading of the judges' cards.
Our betting tip is that the match will be complete in 1.62