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Arsenal - Bournemouth: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.80
In the 35th round of the Premier League, Arsenal will play Bournemouth on May 3. The Gunners have an important second leg of the Champions League semi-final with PSG ahead, while they firmly hold second place in the championship and the game in Paris will clearly be a priority. Will the guests be able to take advantage of the opponent's difficult schedule? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his bet on the match
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal are firmly in second place in the Premier League table with four rounds to go. Liverpool are already celebrating the championship in full swing, while Newcastle, who are in third, are five points behind. In such a situation, it would be logical to bet on the second leg of the Champions League against PSG on the road. At home, the Gunners were defeated with a minimum score of 0:1, which is definitely not a verdict. Moreover, the Londoners have a lot of problems with the squad right now, especially in defense, where Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Magallanes and Riccardo Calafiori will definitely not play today. With a high degree of probability, Mikel Arteta will have a decent rotation, will give many leaders the opportunity to rest, a busy season does not spare anyone.
In four of the last five rounds in the Premier League, Arsenal have drawn and won only once in that stretch. Obviously, given the tight schedule of matches and the problems with the squad, it's not easy for the Gunners. Moreover, they lost points against opponents who were far from the strongest by the standards of the championship: Everton, Brentford, Crystal Palace.
Even the home field factor is not decisive right now. It was at home that the Gunners could not beat the bees and glaziers.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gabriel, Havertz, Jesus, Tomiyasu, Calafiori and Jorginho are in the Arsenal infirmary. Neto, the second goalkeeper, will not be able to play today under the terms of the lease.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches Arsenal have not won in the first half.
- In eight of the Gunners' ten previous Premier League matches, no more than three goals were scored.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in the Premier League for eight consecutive matches (three wins and five draws)
- Arsenal have lost by fouls in the last six matches.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Kivior, Zinchenko - Rice, Partie, Edegor – Nvaneri, Trossard, Sterling.
AFC Bournemouth
EnglandCurrent form
Bournemouth were good in the first half of the season, pleased with their performance and results, but at the distance, the team, which was still modest in size, noticeably slowed down and was only in tenth place by the start of the 35th round. It seems that we will have to forget about possible participation in European competitions, given the seven-point gap between Aston Villa in seventh position.
It should be noted that the peak of the team's decline in the second half of March and early April is over. In the last four rounds, Andoni Iraola's team has not suffered a single defeat – three draws and one victory. However, the calendar during this period was not the most difficult: West Ham, Fulham, Crystal Palace, Manchester United. Six points scored in duels with these rivals for one of the contenders for European Cup places is frankly not enough.
Bournemouth played their last match in the Premier League against Manchester United and were close to winning, as they led 1-0 until the sixth minute, but did not survive until the final whistle. The draw turned out to be insulting also because Evanilson was sent off in the 70th minute. The management of Bournemouth appealed, and the red card was canceled, the player will be able to play in London today.
Disqualifications and injuries
Unal, Sinisterra and Christie are injured and will not play today.
Interesting betting trends
- In four consecutive matches, Bournemouth have not lost in the first half.
- In the last nine matches in the Premier League, the Cherries have scored only one victory.
- Bournemouth have not lost on yellow cards in three of their previous four matches.
Approximate composition: Arrizabalaga – Smith, Zabarny, Heisen, Kerkez – Adams, Scott–Semenyo, Kluivert, Ouattara –Evanilson.
Trends
Bet Bournemouth Win by Fouls
In the last six matches, Arsenal have lost by fouls.
1.45Bet Bournemouth will score in the first half
In three of the last four matches, Bournemouth have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
2.14The exact score is 1:2
In the last two personal meetings, the Cherries did not lose to the Gunners
11.50The Total cornerbetis more than 9.5
In three of Arsenal's four previous matches, such a bet was passed.
1.49Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five face-to-face confrontations, the opponents scored goals in each of the halves.
1.71Tip and bets
Bookmakers give Arsenal a win rate above 2.00 on their own field, which, on the one hand, is surprising, given the advantage in class and standings. On the other hand, the Gunners have the second leg of the Champions League semi-final ahead of them, which the team is clearly betting on. However, this is not even important. The Londoners have significant losses in the squad, and this affects the end of the season anyway, as the schedule of matches is very serious, and there is no way to do without rotation. It is no coincidence that Arsenal failed to win in three of the last four Premier League matches, although there were no top opponents in those matches. We believe that the guests will be able to take advantage of the opponent's problems and at least one point will be taken away from London. Moreover, the Cherries know how to beat a famous opponent, as they won against the Gunners in the first round on their own field.
Our betting tip is that Bournemouth will not lose by a factor of 1.76
Bet on the total
Given the personnel losses in the defense line, it would be logical for the hosts to bet on goals. Arsenal have missed out on Fulham, Everton, Brentford, and Crystal Palace in recent rounds in the Premier League. The current Bournemouth is definitely not weaker than these teams in attack and can count on their own goal. At the same time, Arsenal are unlikely to be left without their goals at home, even if they are not playing with the most optimal squad.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.72
Combined bid
Given our expectations that the underdog will not be without points today, it would be logical to play a combined bet with a high coefficient that Bournemouth will not lose and more than two goals will be scored in the match. It doesn't make much sense to play only with an emphasis on defense from the opponents today.
Betting Tip – Bournemouth will not lose and the total is more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.80
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