LiontipsLorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo: prediction and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Muzetti beat Alex De Minaur 6-4, 6-2 in the fourth round of the Masters in Madrid. Lorenzo scored three aces against the Australian, made three break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. The Italian had previously passed Stefanos Tsitsipas and Thomas Etcheverri in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Muzetti is a versatile player who prefers slow covers. He acts confidently on the back line and knows how to defend patiently, but on occasion he can easily switch to attacking. Lorenzo's spectacular one-handed backhand poses a particular threat to his rivals, and his shortened strokes, especially effective on the ground, add variety to his game.
Current indicators in the tour
Muzetti is currently in 11th place in the world ranking. During his career, the 23-year-old Italian has won two ATP titles. He issued them at the Hamburg and Naples tournaments in 2022.
Interesting facts for betting
Muzetti has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
Current form
Diallo scored a 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 victory over Grigor Dimitrov in the fourth round of the Madrid Masters. Gabriel made eight aces, made one break point and lost one game on his serve in a duel with the Bulgarian tennis player. Earlier in the tournament, the Canadian defeated Cameron Norrie, Kamil Majhrzak and Zizu Bergs.
Professional qualities
Diallo specializes in speed courts, where he feels most confident. His style of play is based on powerful shots - the emphasis is on a strong first serve and aggressive forehand shots. The Canadian does not hesitate to go to the net and actively uses shortened strokes to complete the draws.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, Dialo won the hardball challenger held in Chicago. It was the fifth title of his career for the 23-year-old Canadian. Gabriel is currently ranked 78th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Diallo's last three matches were played in three sets.
Trends
The Muzetti VictoryBet
Muzetti has won 8 of the last 9 matches
1.25Bet the 2nd set - Muzetti wins
Muzetti won the 2nd set in 8 of the last 9 matches
1.35The 1st setbetis Muzetti's victory
Muzetti won the 1st set in the last 4 matches
1.39The exact scorebetis 2-0
Muzetti has won 2-0 in the last 3 matches.
1.79Tip and bets
Earlier this year, Muzetti beat Diallo fairly confidently in two sets at a tournament in Hong Kong. Of course, the Canadian is showing good form in Madrid, but his current playing conditions are unlikely to be enough to create serious problems for a player like Lorenzo.
Our prediction is that Muzetti will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.87
Bet on the total
Muzetti and Diallo had previously crossed paths twice on the tennis court. Both matches were played in two sets. We expect that the upcoming match between them will be grassroots.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.83
Bet on the first set
In three of Diallo's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming meeting against Muzetti will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.92
