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Grigor Dimitrov as Gabriel Diallo. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Grigor Dimitrov
Bulgaria
29.04.25
Grigor Dimitrov2 : 0Jacob Fearnley
26.04.25
Grigor Dimitrov2 : 0Nicolas Jarry
11.04.25
Grigor Dimitrov0 : 2Alex de Minaur
10.04.25
Alejandro Tabilo1 : 2Grigor Dimitrov
09.04.25
Valentin Vacherot1 : 2Grigor Dimitrov
08.04.25
Nicolas Jarry0 : 2Grigor Dimitrov
Madrid Open
arantxa-sanchez-vicario
Canada
01.05.25
Lorenzo Musetti2 : 0Gabriel Diallo
29.04.25
Cameron Norrie1 : 2Gabriel Diallo
26.04.25
Gabriel Diallo2 : 1Kamil Majchrzak
24.04.25
Zizou Bergs0 : 2Gabriel Diallo
22.04.25
Gabriel Diallo0 : 2Borna Coric
21.04.25
Gabriel Diallo2 : 0Nicolas Moreno

Dimitrov and Diallo will meet in the fourth round of the Masters in Madrid on April 30. Dimitrov, without a doubt, is in excellent shape, confidently passing through the Madrid grid of such difficult opponents as Harry and Fearnley. However, Diallo is playing excellent tennis now. In addition, the fast courts of the Spanish capital should help the Canadian make the most of his powerful serve and forehand. Does Gabriel have a chance to impose a fight on Grigor in the upcoming match? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction and Betting Tips (30.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Grigor Dimitrov

Bulgaria

Current form

Dimitrov was stronger than Jacob Fearnley in the third round of the Madrid tournament - 6-4, 7-6. Grigor made 11 aces, made three break points and lost two games on his serve against the Briton. In the second round, the Bulgarian defeated Nicholas Harry's resistance.

Professional qualities

Dimitrov used to impress with his elegant technique and the ability to arrange draws wisely, but now he increasingly relies on physical strength. His serve has become one of the main trump cards in his game, thanks to which he regularly earns easy points. Grigor, however, rarely goes to the net - for him it's more of an element of surprise, used to change the rhythm. He exerts the main pressure from the back line, intelligently varying the pace and direction of the ball's flight, relying on his tactical flair and variety of shots.

Current indicators in the tour

Dimitrov won the Brisbane competition last season. For the 33-year-old Bulgarian, it was the ninth ATP title of his career. Grigor is currently ranked 16th in the world rankings, although he was once the third racket of the world.

Interesting facts for betting

Dimitrov has won 8 of the last 10 matches.

Gabriel Diallo

Canada

Current form

Diallo was stronger than Cameron Norrie in the third round of the Madrid tournament - 2-6, 6-4, 6-4. Gabriel made eight aces, made two break points and lost two games on his serve. Earlier, the Canadian passed Kamila Majhrzak and Ziza Bergsa in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

Diallo is a typical representative of players who prefer fast courts. Open hard and indore are especially suitable for him, where he demonstrates active, assertive tennis. The Canadian is betting on the first serve and an aggressive forehand. In addition, he does not hesitate to include shortened shots in the game and confidently goes forward, often completing draws at the net.

Current indicators in the tour

The 78th place in the world ranking is currently occupied by Diallo. The 23-year-old Canadian has won five titles in his career. He completed the last one last season, winning the competition in Chicago.

Interesting facts for betting

5 of Diallo's last 7 matches have been played in two sets.

Trends

Diallo's handicaprate(+3.5)

Diallo has won games with a handicap (+3.5) in 12 of the last 14 matches

1.68
1.68

The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets

The last two matches with Diallo ended in three sets.

2.45
2.45

Tip and bets

1.95Diallo with a handicap (+3)

Dimitrov is undoubtedly in excellent shape at the moment. In the tournament bracket in Madrid, he passed quite difficult opponents - Harry and Fearnley. Diallo is also in good shape now. The fast courts in the Spanish capital allow Gabriel to rely on his powerful serve and forehand. We believe that the Canadian will be able to get a positive head start at least in the upcoming match.

Our prediction is that Diallo will win with a handicap of (+3) games for a coefficient of 1.95

Do you agree with this bet?
1.77The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

Dimitrov is seen as the favorite in this confrontation and, as it seems to us, he will be able to beat Diallo, but this victory will not be easy for the Bulgarian. Gabriel has a good first serve in his arsenal, which will cause Grigor a lot of difficulties on the fast courts of Madrid.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.77

Bet on the first set

In four of Diallo's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Dimitrov will also start from the grassroots of the first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.13

Do you agree with this bet?

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