LiontipsFrancis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi: prediction and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
In the third round of the Madrid tournament, Tiafoe broke Alexander Muller's resistance 6-3, 6-3. Francis made three aces, made three break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. In the second round, the American passed on the refusal of Luciano Darderi.
Professional qualities
Tiafoe prefers an aggressive style of play, betting on the forehand. One of the key components of the American's arsenal remains the pitch, which can reach speeds of up to 225 km/h. Francis does not play well at the reception, and his second serve remains unreliable. Tiafoe's backhand is quite effective, especially when he manages to gain an advantageous position on the court.
Current indicators in the tour
Tiafoe is a former tenth racket of the world. He is currently ranked 17th in the world rankings. During his career, the 27-year-old American has won three ATP titles. He won his last trophy on the grass courts of Stuttgart in 2023.
Interesting facts for betting
Tiafoe has played in only one quarterfinal this season.
Current form
Arnaldi beat Damir Djumhur 6-3, 6-4 in the third round of the competition in Madrid. Matteo made six aces, made two break points in a duel with the Bosnian and did not lose a single game on his serve. Earlier, the Italian passed Novak Djokovic and Borna Choric in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is a promising player from Italy, demonstrating good endurance and defensive attitude. In long draws, the Italian feels comfortable due to excellent footwork. Nevertheless, in order to progress, he needs to be more active in attack.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is currently ranked 44th in the world. The 24-year-old Italian has won six trophies in his career, the last of which he won at the dirt challenger in Helbronn.
Interesting facts for betting
The last two matches with Arnaldi were played in two sets.
Trends
Arnaldi's bet with a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Arnaldi has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in the last 7 matches
1.28Tiafoe's handicaprate(+3.5)
Tiafoe has won games with a handicap (+3.5) in 12 of the last 13 matches
1.44Tiafoe'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Tiafoe has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 10 of the last 11 matches
1.44Arnaldi's handicapbet(+1.5)
Arnaldi has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a game in the last 5 matches in Madrid.
1.58The bet of the 2nd set is Arnaldi's victory
Arnaldi won the 2nd set in 5 of the last 6 matches.
1.73The 1st setbetis Tiafoe's victory
Tiafoe won the 1st set in 8 of the last 9 matches
2.02Tip and bets
Arnaldi scored a good move and is now demonstrating a fairly high-quality level of play. The victory over Djokovic in the second round gave Matteo additional confidence in his abilities. We consider the Italian to be the main contender for victory in the upcoming meeting with Tiafoe.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win with a coefficient of 1.77
Bet on the total
Last season, the tennis players had a riding match at Wimbledon. We expect that the upcoming meeting between Tiafoe and Arnaldi will also be a struggle and will be protracted.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.93
Bet on the first set
In four of Arnaldi's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Tiafoe will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.11
