LiontipsDaniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima: prediction and bets for the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Medvedev beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2, 6-2 in the third round of the competition in Madrid. Daniil made two aces in the confrontation with the Argentine, made four break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. The Russian passed Laszlo Gyor in the second round on a bounce.
Professional qualities
Medvedev continues to adhere to proven tactics — strong defense and endurance in protracted draws from deep inside the court. At the same time, his serve has become less effective over the last season. Reception is still Daniil's strong point, but this is no longer enough for constant victories at a high level, although the positive dynamics in the Russian's game on the courts of Madrid can still be traced.
Current indicators in the tour
Medvedev won his last trophy in 2023, when he won on clay in Rome. For the 29-year-old Russian, it was the 20th ATP title of his career. Daniil is currently in tenth place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Medvedev was last year's quarterfinalist in the Madrid competition.
Current form
Nakashima scored a 7-5, 6-3 victory over Flavio Cobolli in the third round of the competition in Madrid. Brandon scored four aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. In the second round, the American beat Sebastian Ofner.
Professional qualities
Nakashima represents the classic American tennis school. Although his playing style does not shine with variety, he is reliable in the draws on the back line. Brandon relies on aggressive tennis – a powerful forehand and a tight backhand allow him to dominate, especially on hard surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
Nakashima is in the top 50 of the world ranking and is currently ranked 32nd. The 23-year-old American has won eight trophies in his career, two of which are in the ATP category. Last season, Brandon won the open hardboard challenge in Tenerife.
Interesting facts for betting
7 of Nakashima's last 8 matches have been played in two sets.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
7 of Nakashima's last 8 matches have been played in two sets.
1.53The Totalbetis less than 23.5
In 7 of Nakashima's last 8 matches, less than 23.5 games were played.
1.72Tip and bets
Medvedev seems to have found his game. In the opening match in Madrid, he beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo quite easily, who is in decent shape. If Daniel plays with the same concentration as in the match against the Argentine, he will pass Nakashima without any problems.
Our betting tip is that Medvedev will win with a handicap of (-3) games by a factor of 1.77
Bet on the total
Earlier in their careers, Medvedev and Nakashima had already crossed paths on the tennis court in an official match. That match was played in two sets. Most likely, the upcoming match between them will not go beyond two games either.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.89
Bet on the first set
In three of Nakashima's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming duel against Medvedev will also begin with the first game riding.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.68
