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Cameron Norrie as Gabriel Diallo. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Cameron Norrie
Great Britain
Madrid Open
arantxa-sanchez-vicario

Norrie and Diallo will meet in the third round of the Masters in Madrid on April 28. Of course, Norrie has much more experience playing on clay courts. Nevertheless, Diallo has proved this season that he is capable of achieving good results on this surface, especially when it comes to fast ground, just like at the Masters in Madrid. What are the Canadian tennis player's chances of success in the upcoming match against Cameron? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction and Betting Tips (29.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

Current form

Norrie was stronger than Jiri Lehechka in the second round of the Madrid Masters, 2-6, 6-4, 6-0. Cameron scored four aces, made four break points, and lost two games on his serve against the Czech. In the first round, the Briton was stronger than Martin Landaluse.

Professional qualities

Norrie takes advantage of his left hand, which creates additional difficulties for his opponents, who are forced to adapt to the non-standard trajectories of his punches. Cameron has a powerful forehand, a flat backhand and a confident serve, which makes his playing style intense and difficult to predict.

Current indicators in the tour

Norrie won his last title in 2023, winning a clay competition in Rio de Janeiro. It was the fifth ATP title of his career for the 29-year-old Briton. Cameron is currently ranked 91st in the world rankings, although he was once the eighth in the world.

Interesting facts for betting

The last three matches with Norrie were played in three sets.

Gabriel Diallo

Canada

Current form

Diallo defeated Kamil Majhrzak 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in the second round of the Masters in Madrid. Gabriel made ten aces, made three break points, and lost two games on his serve. In the first round, the Canadian beat Ziza Bergs.

Professional qualities

Diallo feels comfortable on high-speed surfaces, including hard and indoor courts. His main asset is a strong serve. If the opponent manages to neutralize this element, Gabriel actively connects the exits to the grid and quickly completes the draws. A strong backhand is another significant advantage of the Canadian.

Current indicators in the tour

Diallo is currently ranked 78th in the world rankings. The 23-year-old Canadian has won five titles in his career. Last season, he won the open hard court at the Challenger in Chicago.

Interesting facts for betting

Diallo won the first set in 3 of the last 4 matches.

Trends

Diallo's handicaprate(+4.5)

Diallo has won by a handicap (+4.5) of a game in the last 13 matches

1.26
1.26

Norrie'sbetwith a handicap (+1.5) of a set

Norrie has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in the last 6 matches

1.28
1.28

Norrie's ITrateis more than 11.5

Norrie has won more than 11.5 games in the last 6 matches.

1.34
1.34

The bet of the 2nd set is Norrie's victory

Norrie won the 2nd set in 5 of the last 6 matches.

1.78
1.78

Tip and bets

2.08Diallo's victory

Norrie certainly has more experience playing on clay courts in his career. Nevertheless, Diallo has shown this season that he is capable of achieving good results on clay, especially if it is a fast ground, as, for example, in Madrid. We believe that the Canadian has a good chance of success in the upcoming match against Cameron.

Our prediction is that Diallo will win by a factor of 2.08

Do you agree with this bet?
1.95The total is more than 23

Bet on the total

The opponents are roughly equal in terms of level of play at the moment, so most likely their upcoming match will be a struggle. We're betting that the duel between Norrie and Diallo will go beyond two games.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.95

Bet on the first set

In four of Diallo's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Norrie will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.11

Do you agree with this bet?

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