LiontipsCameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo: prediction and bets for the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Norrie was stronger than Jiri Lehechka in the second round of the Madrid Masters, 2-6, 6-4, 6-0. Cameron scored four aces, made four break points, and lost two games on his serve against the Czech. In the first round, the Briton was stronger than Martin Landaluse.
Professional qualities
Norrie takes advantage of his left hand, which creates additional difficulties for his opponents, who are forced to adapt to the non-standard trajectories of his punches. Cameron has a powerful forehand, a flat backhand and a confident serve, which makes his playing style intense and difficult to predict.
Current indicators in the tour
Norrie won his last title in 2023, winning a clay competition in Rio de Janeiro. It was the fifth ATP title of his career for the 29-year-old Briton. Cameron is currently ranked 91st in the world rankings, although he was once the eighth in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
The last three matches with Norrie were played in three sets.
Current form
Diallo defeated Kamil Majhrzak 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in the second round of the Masters in Madrid. Gabriel made ten aces, made three break points, and lost two games on his serve. In the first round, the Canadian beat Ziza Bergs.
Professional qualities
Diallo feels comfortable on high-speed surfaces, including hard and indoor courts. His main asset is a strong serve. If the opponent manages to neutralize this element, Gabriel actively connects the exits to the grid and quickly completes the draws. A strong backhand is another significant advantage of the Canadian.
Current indicators in the tour
Diallo is currently ranked 78th in the world rankings. The 23-year-old Canadian has won five titles in his career. Last season, he won the open hard court at the Challenger in Chicago.
Interesting facts for betting
Diallo won the first set in 3 of the last 4 matches.
Trends
Diallo's handicaprate(+4.5)
Diallo has won by a handicap (+4.5) of a game in the last 13 matches
1.26Norrie'sbetwith a handicap (+1.5) of a set
Norrie has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in the last 6 matches
1.28Norrie's ITrateis more than 11.5
Norrie has won more than 11.5 games in the last 6 matches.
1.34The bet of the 2nd set is Norrie's victory
Norrie won the 2nd set in 5 of the last 6 matches.
1.78Tip and bets
Norrie certainly has more experience playing on clay courts in his career. Nevertheless, Diallo has shown this season that he is capable of achieving good results on clay, especially if it is a fast ground, as, for example, in Madrid. We believe that the Canadian has a good chance of success in the upcoming match against Cameron.
Our prediction is that Diallo will win by a factor of 2.08
Bet on the total
The opponents are roughly equal in terms of level of play at the moment, so most likely their upcoming match will be a struggle. We're betting that the duel between Norrie and Diallo will go beyond two games.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.95
Bet on the first set
In four of Diallo's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Norrie will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.11
