Liontips
Arina Sobolenko - Elise Mertens: betting tip for the WTA Madrid match
At the previous tournament in Stuttgart, Arina Sobolenko confidently defeated Elise Mertens with a seven-game advantage. Tournament fate brought these tennis players together again, this time in the third round in Madrid on April 27. Should we wait for the convincing victory of the first racket of the world again? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip. Which reliable bets should I choose?
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sobolenko made it to the finals in Madrid for two seasons in a row, won the title here in 2023, and is clearly betting on achieving maximum results this time. At the start, Arina played against Blinkova, controlled the course of the match, increased at the right moments and eventually won 6-3, 6-4.
Professional qualities
Arina is an attacking tennis player, making full use of the potential of her powerful forehand and strong serve. Plus, she has noticeably improved in the game on the back line, now she is trying to play more variably.
Current indicators in the tour
Sobolenko confidently leads the world ranking, having won 27 of 32 matches in the round since the beginning of the year. Arina has won the Brisbane and Miami titles.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the last 16 winning matches, Sobolenko won with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets.
- In four of Sobolenko's previous five matches, more than nine games were played in the first set.
Elise Mertens
BelgiumCurrent form
Mertens has the best result after moving to the ground – the quarterfinals in Stuttgart. At that stage, she lost to her opponent today with a score of 4-6, 1-6. In Madrid, Elise started from the second round and did not experience any special difficulties in the duel against Osorio Serrano, having played more reliably on her serve (6-3, 6-3).
Professional qualities
The Belgian tennis player tries to offer her rivals a high tempo in the draws, strives to act as the first number, boldly goes to the net. However, against top competitors, such tennis often does not bring her success.
Current indicators in the tour
This year, Mertens performs at her usual level, winning where it is expected of her. In total, she played 27 matches in the round, in which she scored 19 victories. The tennis player ranks 26th in the ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
- Mertens lost to Sobolenko in 9 of 11 face-to-face meetings.
- In four consecutive matches with Mertens, the minimum number of sets was played.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In the previous seven face-to-face meetings, the tennis players played two sets each.
1.30Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In two of the three previous head-to-head matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.21Tip and bets
It's hardly worth waiting for Mertens to make a splash today, as she lost 9 of 11 face-to-face meetings to Arina, including losing to her at a recent tournament in Stuttgart. However, we do not expect a complete defeat in the performance of the first racket of the world. With Blinkova, Sobolenko won the class, played far from the maximum, and increased at the right moments. We are waiting for the game to follow the same scenario this time.
Our prediction is that Mertens will win with a handicap of (+6) games with a coefficient of 1.75
Bet on the total
In the opening game with Blinkova, the Belarusian tennis player played 19 games. We are waiting for a similar scenario today and believe that at least 19 games will be played in the match against Mertens.
The second bet is a total of more than 18.5 games for 1.80
Bet on the first set
In four of the last five matches with Sobolenko, it was possible to see at least nine games in the first set. We expect that there will be a tight fight in this segment of the game.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 2.30
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Tips from experts
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