LiontipsIan Machado Garry - Carlos Prates: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Ian Machado Garry is an Irish phenomenon, a real nightmare for the welterweight division. This guy was the Cage Warriors champion before he broke into the UFC in November 2021, delivering an eight-win streak in a row until Shavkat Rakhmonov defeated him for the first time in December 2024 by unanimous decision. Before that, Gary had torn everyone apart with a unanimous victory over Michael Page, a split decision against Jeff Neal, and a masterclass against Neil Magni.
At the age of 27, he has a 19-1 record: ten knockouts, seven decisions, two submissions, and he ranks seventh in the UFC welterweight rankings. This guy has boxing in his blood, he tried judo to expand his arsenal, and — hang on — he got a black belt in judo at the age of 18. Harry is like a sniper who can strangle if you get too close.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Harry's takedowns is 55 percent.
Ian has finished in the first round in four fights in his career.
Current form
Carlos Prates, the Brazilian beast, is just a walking disaster for rivals. He broke into the UFC in 2024 after winning the title in the Brazilian Standout Fighting Tournament and became a real sensation. Undefeated in the UFC, Prates is coming off an 11-win streak. In his last fight in November 2024, he knocked out Neil Magni in the first round. Before that, Li Jingliang was knocked out in the second round, Charlie Radtke in the first and Trewin Giles in the second — all knockouts, all tough.
At 31, he's 17-5: 12 knockouts, two decisions, two submissions, and he's in 13th place in the division rankings. The nickname Nightmare speaks for itself, and his black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu adds intrigue. But honestly, it's his hands that knock people out — they're like a sledgehammer.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Prates' punches is 57 percent.
Prates has finished in the first round in nine fights in his career.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 26 early victories.
1.48Tip and bets
Harry is like a scientist in the octagon. He reads the fight like a book, keeps his distance with his precise punches, and if he senses a weakness, puts him on the ground and strangles him like a python. His wins over Magni and Page prove that he can handle dangerous punchers. Garry fought with the tops, and his only defeat was from Shavkat, who, honestly, seemed to be from another league. And Prates? This guy is a walking blockbuster. Four fights in the UFC, four knockouts — he's like Brazilian Mike Tyson with those fists. But here's the catch: he hasn't dated someone on Harry's level yet. Magni, Jingliang, Giles are cool guys, but not as versatile as Ian. Prates is a monster in the stance, but his protection from takedowns is a big question, and if he is taken to the ground, this black belt in jiu—jitsu must work, otherwise it's a disaster. It's worth betting on Harry. If he survives the early flurry— and Prates comes out to take his head off—Ian will use his height, his intelligence and his skills in the stalls to gain the upper hand.
Our prediction is that Garry will win with a 5.80 submission.
