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Alex De Minaur as Lorenzo Sonego. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Alex de Minaur
Australia
Madrid Open
manolo-santana

De Minaur and Sonego will meet in the second round of the Masters in Madrid on April 26. De Minaur has shown impressive stability this season, showing high-quality play even on non-core ground. The Australian reached the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters and played in the quarterfinals in Barcelona last week. These results speak to his excellent form and make him a clear favorite in the upcoming match against Sonego. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction and Betting Tips (26.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Alex de Minaur

Australia

Current form

De Minaur has scored five wins and two losses on clay this season. Last week, during the Barcelona tournament, Alex managed to reach the quarterfinals - at this stage he lost to Carlos Alcaraz.

Professional qualities

De Minaur is one of the strongest tennis players in the world when it comes to playing on the back line. His style can be described as counter-attacking - he perfectly combines defensive actions with instant transitions to the attack. Alex focuses on the forehand, using it to control the course of the draws. In addition, the Australian has improved his serve significantly this season, which is noticeable compared to his previous performances.

Current indicators in the tour

Last season, De Minaur won two trophies - he won in Acapulco and 'S-Hertogenbosch. In total, the 26-year-old Australian has won nine ATP trophies in his career. Alex is currently in seventh place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

De Minaur's last three matches were played in two sets.

Lorenzo Sonego

Italy

Current form

Sonego beat Miomir Kechmanovich 6-4, 7-6 at the start of the Masters in Madrid. In the confrontation with the Serbian, Lorenzo made one ace, made one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. It was the first victory for the Italian on clay this season with two defeats.

Professional qualities

Sonego is versatile - it has been successful on all types of surfaces, including dirt, grass and hard. Nevertheless, it is on the open hard court that the Italian's results in recent seasons leave much to be desired. Lorenzo prefers to build the game from deep inside the court, trying to impose protracted exchanges of blows on his opponents, in which he feels comfortable. His forehand is powerful and aggressive, but the backhand is not as stable and often becomes a vulnerable spot in the confrontation with top players.

Current indicators in the tour

Sonogo currently holds the 43rd place in the world ranking. During his career, the 29-year-old Italian has won four ATP titles, one of which he won last season on the outdoor hard court in Winston-Salem.

Interesting facts for betting

Sonogo has scored just two wins in his last eight matches.

Trends

The 1st setbetis De Minaur's victory

De Minaur won the 1st set in 5 of the last 6 matches

1.33
1.33

Sony's ITrateis more than 8.5

Sonego has won more than 8.5 games in the last 7 matches

1.60
1.60

The Totalbetis more than 21.5

Sonego has played more than 21.5 games in his last 7 matches.

1.80
1.80

Tip and bets

1.85De Minaur with a head start (-4)

De Minaur has been incredibly stable this season. Even on non-core ground for himself, the Australian demonstrates quite a decent level of play. The fact that we played the semi-finals in Monte Carlo and reached the quarterfinals in Barcelona last week is proof of this. We believe that Alex will be able to pass the test.

Our prediction is that De Minaur will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.85

Do you agree with this bet?
1.83The total is more than 21

Bet on the total

Sonego's performance largely depends on the mood. In general, the Italian is capable of beating anyone with good odds. We believe that in the upcoming match against De Minaur, he will be able to win at least one set.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.83

Bet on the first set

In four of Sonego's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against De Minaur will also start with the riding of the first game.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.89

Do you agree with this bet?

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