LiontipsBen Shelton - Mariano Navone: prediction and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Shelton showed a good result at the Munich tournament last week. As part of those competitions, Ben managed to reach the finals - he lost to Alexander Zverev in the decisive match. The American has four wins and two losses on clay this season.
Professional qualities
Shelton can be called one of the best serving tennis players on the tour. However, his presentation is not very diverse. The American moves well on the court, which is rare with a height of 193 cm. He also moves confidently along the back line, not inferior to the top players. Another significant advantage in Ben's game is his powerful forehand, which carries danger even when the American punches in motion.
Current indicators in the tour
Shelton won his last title on clay - he won last season at competitions held in Houston. For Ben, it was the second ATP title of his career. The 22-year-old American is currently in 13th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Shelton reached the third round in Madrid last season.
Current form
Navone was stronger than Giovanni Mpeschi in the first round of the Masters in Madrid - 6-4, 6-4. Mariano made two aces, made two break points in a duel with the Frenchman and did not lose a single game on his serve. The Argentine has nine wins and six losses on clay this season.
Professional qualities
Navone's playing style is ideal for clay courts. He doesn't have the strongest serve in his arsenal, but this disadvantage is not as noticeable on the ground as on the hard court. Mariano takes his due to good footwork and incredible endurance. In protracted draws, the Argentine feels comfortable trying to catch his rivals on a mistake.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, Navona won the competition in Cagliari. It was the sixth title of his career for the 24-year-old Argentine. Mariano is currently ranked 85th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Navone has won 2 of the last 3 matches in which he was the underdog.
Trends
Shelton'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Shelton won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.29The ITVONErateis more than 11.5
Navone has won more than 11.5 games in 7 of the last 8 matches
1.34Navone'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Navone won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 7 of the last 8 matches
1.44Navone's handicapbet(+2.5)
Navone has won games with a handicap (+2.5) in 7 of the last 8 matches
1.66Tip and bets
Navone is definitely a dangerous opponent, especially on clay. However, do not underestimate Shelton, who also knows how to play on this surface, which he actually demonstrated last week by reaching the finals at the Munich tournament. We believe that Ben can pass Mariano.
Our prediction is that Shelton will win by a factor of 1.87
Bet on the total
Shelton and Navone had previously met twice in their careers. Both matches took place on the open hard court and ended in two sets. On clay, it seems to us that the scenario of their face-to-face confrontation will be different - Mariano is able to impose a fight on the American on clay courts.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.81
Bet on the first set
In three of Navone's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming meeting against Shelton will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.61
