Sebastian Ofner as Hugo Gaston. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

Madrid Open

pista-6

23 April 07:30 UTC

Hugo Gaston

France

Ofner and Gaston will meet in the first round of the Masters in Madrid on April 23. Ofner, of course, should not be underestimated on a ground surface, but his current form raises questions. The Austrian has played very few matches this season, as he is just returning to the tour after a leg injury. This can be used by Gaston, who will be extremely motivated by the need to defend his place in the top 100 of the world ranking. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston Prediction and Betting Tips (23.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

Current form

Ofner has played only nine matches this season due to a leg injury, of which he has won five. Sebastian spent his last tournament at the challenger, held in Madrid, in which he beat Billy Harris in the first round, but then lost to Vilius Gaubas.

Professional qualities

Ofner, with a height of 191 cm, effectively uses this advantage for a powerful serve and a quick set of points. True, the serve doesn't help Sebastian much on the ground, but nevertheless it remains a formidable weapon in his arsenal. At the same time, such a high height affects the Austrian's maneuverability - in terms of moving around the court, he is inferior to more mobile players.

Current indicators in the tour

Ofner is currently the 153rd racket of the world, although he was once the 37th in the world. During his career, the 28-year-old Austrian has won ten trophies, the last of which he completed in 2023, winning the dirt challenger in Salzburg.

Interesting facts for betting

4 of Ofner's last 6 matches ended in three sets.

Hugo Gaston

France

Current form

Gaston made his way to the main draw of the Madrid competition through qualifying. In the qualifying, Hugo beat Yannick Hanfmann in three sets, and then he dealt with Luca Nardi in two games. The Frenchman has three wins and six losses on clay courts this season.

Professional qualities

Gaston, on the other hand, has a compact build, which limits him in power aspects, especially on high-speed surfaces. However, he makes up for it with excellent reflexes and the ability to maintain a high pace. The Frenchman tries to impose a fight at the expense of speed, but his style requires a lot of physical effort - he often has to spend a lot of time on the move to win one draw, which does not always pay off.

Current indicators in the tour

Last season, Gaston won the dirt challenger in Lyon. It was the eighth title of his career for the Frenchman. In the world ranking, 24-year-old Hugo is currently in 80th place.

Interesting facts for betting

Gaston has won 3 of the last 4 matches in which he was the favorite.

Trends

Offner's bet with a head start (+5.5)

Ofner has won with a handicap (+5.5) of a game in the last 8 matches

1.25

The Totalbetis more than 19.5

In 8 of Ofner's last 9 matches, more than 19.5 games were played.

1.35

The Offner bet with a handicap of (+1.5) sets

Ofner won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 8 of the last 9 matches

1.59

Tip and bets

1.95Gaston with a head start (-3)

Ofner, of course, should not be underestimated in the game on the ground. However, Sebastian has played very few matches this season - he is just returning to the game after a leg injury. So in the upcoming match, we give preference to Gaston, who is motivated not to leave the top 100 of the world ranking in the near future.

Our prediction is that Gaston will win with a handicap of (-3) games by a factor of 1.95

Do you agree with this bet?

1.87The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

Ofner and Gaston had previously met three times during their careers. Their last face-to-face match was played in 2023 at the challenger in Mauthausen. That match ended in three sets, and it seems to us that the upcoming match between the tennis players will be played in three games.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.87

Bet on the first set

In three of Gaston's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Ofner will also start with the riding of the first game.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.94

Do you agree with this bet?