LiontipsGiovanni Mpechi - Mariano Navone: prediction and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Mpeshi has played only two matches on clay this season. At the Monte Carlo Masters, he lost to Jordan Topson in the first round, and in Barcelona last week he lost to Hamad Medjedovic in the first round.
Professional qualities
Mpeshi stands out with a strong serve, often earning a lot of aces, especially on fast courts. His forehand is much more confident than his backhand. The one-handed backhand is generally considered the most vulnerable spot in Giovanni's game, as is his reception game. The Frenchman prefers to act quickly, completing draws in a few strokes, which allows him to avoid grueling exchanges of blows on the back line.
Current indicators in the tour
Mpeshi added five titles to his trophy collection last season, including two in the ATP category. He won them in Lyon and Basel. In total, the 21-year-old Frenchman has won seven trophies in his career. Giovanni is currently ranked 37th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpeshi has lost the last four matches.
Current form
Last week, Navone took part in competitions in Munich, where he managed to beat Felix Auger-Alliassim in the first round, but after that he lost to David Goffin. On clay this year, the Argentine scored eight wins and suffered six defeats.
Professional qualities
Navone differs from typical representatives of the South American school of tennis in his aggressive style, which combines a good serve and powerful backhands. The Argentine demonstrates excellent physical fitness and mobility, keeping up with difficult balls and confidently acting in almost hopeless situations. In addition, Mariano competently builds the game, forcing opponents to make mistakes. But in conditions that require aggression and a quick change of pace, his expectant manner of playing can play against him.
Current indicators in the tour
Navone is in the top 100 of the world ranking and is currently in 85th place. Last season, the 24-year-old Argentine won the clay competitions that took place in Cagliari. It was his sixth career title.
Interesting facts for betting
3 of Navone's last 4 matches were played in three sets.
Trends
Mpeshi's Handicaprate(+4.5)
Mpeshi has won games with a handicap (+4.5) in 11 of the last 12 matches
1.25The Totalbetis less than 26.5
In the last 11 Mpeshi matches, less than 26.5 games were played.
1.47The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
The last 11 Mpeshi matches were played in two sets.
1.56The bet of the 2nd set is the victory of Navona
Mpeshi has lost the 2nd set in the last 4 matches
1.65The Victory of Navonabet
Mpeshi has lost the last 4 matches
1.64The 1st setbetis a victory for Navona
Mpeshi has lost the 1st set in the last 4 matches
1.75IT Cashrate- less than 12.5
Mpeshi has won less than 12.5 games in the last 6 matches
1.88The exact scorebetis 2-0
Mpeshi has lost 0-2 in the last 4 matches.
2.39Tip and bets
Mpeshi has not won a single victory on clay this season. Moreover, the Frenchman's series of defeats currently counts four matches. With such indicators, Giovanni is unlikely to expect a successful performance at the Masters in Madrid.
Our prediction is that Navone will win with a (-2) game handicap by a factor of 1.96
Bet on the total
Mpeshi has been playing extremely poorly lately, so we can hardly expect a protracted struggle in the upcoming match against Navone. Still, at the moment Mariano feels better on the ground than the Frenchman, so he will most likely be able to beat him in two sets.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 24 games for a coefficient of 1.86
Bet on the first set
In four of Navone's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Mpesha will also start with the first game down.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.29
