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Hugo Gaston as Luca Nardi. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Hugo Gaston
France
Madrid Open, Qualification
pista-8

Gaston and Nardi will meet on April 22 in the final of the qualifying tournament in Madrid. Gaston made a successful start in qualifying for the Masters in Madrid, beating a rather difficult opponent, Hanfmann. This victory clearly shows the Frenchman's serious attitude towards the Madrid tournament. In the match for reaching the main draw, he will face an equally serious opponent, Nardi. What betting options should be considered in this meeting? - find out in our betting tip

Hugo Gaston vs Luca Nardi Prediction and Betting Tips (22.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Hugo Gaston

France

Current form

Gaston beat Yannick Hanfmann 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 in the first round of the Masters qualification in Madrid. Hugo scored one ace in a duel with the German, made five break points and lost five games on his serve. The Frenchman has two wins and six losses on clay this season.

Professional qualities

Gaston is a southpaw with excellent technique and impressive speed, with a keen gaming sense. The Frenchman plays the game mainly from defense, relying on accuracy and variability. He uses shortened strokes especially effectively on the ground, where he feels most confident. However, his presentation leaves much to be desired, and emotional instability often affects his results.

Current indicators in the tour

Gaston was previously ranked 58th in the world rankings during his career, but now he is in the eightieth position. The 24-year-old Frenchman has won eight trophies in his career. Last season, he won the competition in Lyon.

Interesting facts for betting

Last season, Gaston failed to qualify in Madrid.

Luca Nardi

Italy

Current form

Nardi beat Manas Dhamne 6-4, 6-4 in the first round of qualifying in Madrid. Luka scored three aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve against the Indian tennis player. It was the Italian's first win this season, with two losses.

Professional qualities

Nardi demonstrates attacking tennis, actively using a strong serve and not hesitating to take risks. This manner earns him a lot of points, but it also leads to mistakes, especially if his opponent is good at defending. At the same time, when Luca plays aggressively and controls the course of the match, he handles the pressure better and shows a more even level of play. The Italian can be called a versatile tennis player, because during his career he played about the same number of matches on all surfaces, except, however, grass.

Current indicators in the tour

Nardi won the dirt challenger in Naples last season, and won the Indore tournament in Rovereto. In total, the 21-year-old Italian has won ten trophies in his career. Luca is currently in 100th place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

Nardi has won only 1 of the last 7 matches.

Trends

Gaston's VictoryBet

Nardi has lost 6 of the last 7 matches.

1.72
1.72

The 1st setbetis Gaston's victory

Nardi lost the 1st set in 5 of the last 6 matches.

1.78
1.78

Tip and bets

1.77Gaston's victory

Gaston beat the difficult Hanfmann in the first round of qualifying, thereby demonstrating the seriousness of his intentions regarding the Masters in Madrid. We believe that Hugo will be able to pass the Backgammon in the fight and make his way to the main draw of the competition.

Our prediction is that Gaston will win by a factor of 1.77

Do you agree with this bet?
1.86The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

At the moment, the tennis players are in approximately the same playing conditions, therefore, there is a high probability that their upcoming match will take place in a fight and will be played in three sets.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.86

Bet on the first set

In three of Nardi's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming duel against Gaston will also begin with the riding of the first game.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.96

Do you agree with this bet?

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Betting predictions stat

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8tips
4win
0refund
4losing
-0.04%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit