LiontipsDusan Lajovic - Christian Garin: prediction and bets for the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Lajovic defeated Thiago Tirante 6-3, 7-6 in the first round of qualifying in Madrid. Dusan made two aces, made three break points and lost two games on his serve in a duel with the Argentine. The Serb has scored nine wins and six losses on clay courts this season.
Professional qualities
Lajovic demonstrates stability in long draws, which makes it difficult even for tennis players with a powerful attack. He rarely takes risky actions and prefers to play in a wait-and-see manner, counting on the opponent's mistakes. Such a cautious approach is not very effective on fast courts, which largely explains his poor results on hard courts, but on clay, this style of play brings the Serbian tennis player good results.
Current indicators in the tour
Lajovic is the former 23rd racket of the world. Currently, the 34-year-old Serbian tennis player is ranked 138th in the world rankings. During his career, he has won 14 trophies, two of which are in the ATP category. Dusan won his last title in 2023, winning on clay in Banja Luka.
Interesting facts for betting
Lajovic has won 5 of the last 7 matches.
Current form
Garin scored a 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 victory over Chun Sin Tsen in the first round of qualifying for the Madrid tournament. Christian scored six aces, made four break points, and lost four games on his serve against Taiwan. It was the sixth clay court victory for the Chilean this season, with four losses.
Professional qualities
Garin combines the features of the classic American style of play with elements typical of playing on the ground. The Chilean has a strong serve and confident forehand and backhand shots, which helps him set a high tempo from the very first draws. His main asset is a forehand, which brings him a lot of points, but Christian knows how to vary the game and does not focus on one forehand. The Chilean's vulnerability is moving around the court, he is not that fast, which becomes a problem for him when playing on a fast surface.
Current indicators in the tour
Garin once held 17th place in the world ranking, but due to a series of injuries, he is now in 214th position. The 28-year-old Chilean tennis player has won 17 trophies in his career, five of which are in the ATP category. Christian won his last title in 2021, winning the clay competitions held in Santiago.
Interesting facts for betting
3 of Garin's last 4 matches were played in three sets.
Trends
Garin'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Garin has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in the last 7 matches
1.31Layovic'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets
Lajovic won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.31IT Lajovic'srateis less than 13.5
Lajovic has won less than 13.5 games in 19 of the last 20 matches.
1.34IT Garin'srateis more than 11.5
Garin has won more than 11.5 games in the last 7 matches.
1.45Garin'sbetwith a handicap (+1.5)
Garin has won games with a handicap (+1.5) in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.77The 1st setbetis Garin's victory
Garin won the 1st set in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.99Tip and bets
The tennis players had previously met three times during their careers. The only face-to-face match between them on clay remained for Garin, who beat Lajovic in two sets. We believe that Christian will be able to deal with Dusan in the upcoming match, given the Chilean's good performance history in Madrid, where he reached the quarterfinals earlier in his career.
Our betting tip is Garin's victory by a factor of 2.01
Bet on the total
The tennis players had previously met three times during their careers. Their last head-to-head match was played in 2022 at a team competition in Australia, and that meeting ended in three sets. Most likely, the upcoming duel between Lajovic and Garin will also be a horse race.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 2.04
Bet on the first set
In four of Garin's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Lajovic will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.99
