LiontipsThiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger: prediction and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
Current form
Monteiro has 12 wins and seven losses on clay this season. Last week, Thiago took part in the challenger in Oeiras, which he left quite quickly, losing in the first round to Elmer Moller.
Professional qualities
Monteiro prefers an exhausting style of play, which does not always work effectively on high-speed courts. Despite his impressive serve, his backhand play often becomes a vulnerable element, especially in protracted draws. Another vulnerable point in Tiago's game is the reception of the opponent's serve. On slow surfaces, especially on dirt, Monteiro feels confident, which he actually already managed to demonstrate in March, when he played in the finals at two challengers in a row.
Current indicators in the tour
Monteiro has won 14 trophies in his career. The 30-year-old Brazilian won the last one in 2023 at the dirt challenger in Campinas. Tiago is currently ranked 94th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Monteiro has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
Current form
Kruger took part in the home challenger in Tallahassee last week, during which he managed to reach the quarterfinals - at this stage he lost to Mathis Erhard.
Professional qualities
Kruger had never been in the top 100 of the world rankings before in his career, although the American has a huge potential. On the hard courts, Mitchell demonstrates the highest quality tennis - he is fast, tactically competent and knows how to use his strengths. The forehand is his main weapon, while the backhand is also quite stable. The American's serve is not the most powerful, but it is accurate and reliable.
Current indicators in the tour
Kruger won two open hard court challenges last season - he won the Indian Wells competition and won in Little Rock. In total, the 31-year-old American has won nine trophies in his career. Mitchell is currently ranked 150th in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
4 of Kruger's last 6 matches were played in two sets.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 20.5
Monteiro has played more than 20.5 games in 18 of his last 19 matches.
1.68Kruger'sbetwith a head start (+4.5)
Kruger has won games with a handicap (+4.5) in 8 of the last 9 matches
1.78Tip and bets
Monteiro showed incredible readiness in March - he played in two finals on clay challengers. We believe that Tiago has every chance to demonstrate a good result on the courts of Madrid. At a minimum, the Brazilian should qualify for this tournament without any problems.
Our prediction is that Monteiro will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.77
Bet on the total
The only head-to-head match between Monteiro and Kruger was played in three sets. Most likely, in the upcoming match between the tennis players, the winner will be determined based on the results of three games.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.79
Bet on the first set
In three of Kruger's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Monteiro will also start with the riding of the first game.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.02
