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Holger Rune as Sebastian Baes. Prediction for the match ATP Barcelona

Spain
Holger Rune
Denmark
Barcelona Open
pista-rafa-nadal

Rune and Baez will meet in the second round of the Barcelona tournament on April 16. Rune has been experiencing stability problems lately, hampered by injuries and illnesses, as happened at the recent Monte Carlo Masters. The Dane's current form raises questions and is unlikely to match the level of a top-20 player in the world rankings. With this in mind, it will be extremely difficult for him to succeed in the upcoming match against the sturdy grounder Baez. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Prediction and Betting Tips (16.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Holger Rune

Denmark

Current form

Rune beat Albert Ramos-Vinolas 7-5, 6-4 in the first round of the Barcelona tournament. Holger scored four aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve in a duel with the Spaniard. It was the Dane's first victory on clay this season, with two losses.

Professional qualities

Rune is a versatile tennis player with powerful strokes on both sides, reliable serve and excellent movement speed on the court. Despite his emotional nature, he knows how to keep his concentration throughout the match. At crucial moments, Holger acts coolly, quickly assesses the situation and often completes the draws with spectacular strikes. Although recently the number of unforced errors has prevailed over the winners of the Dane, which indicates that the tennis player is not in the best playing condition at the moment.

Current indicators in the tour

Rune is a former world number four. Currently, the Dane is in 13th place in the world ranking. The 21-year-old Holger has won four ATP trophies in his career, the last of which he won in 2023 on clay in Munich.

Interesting facts for betting

Rune has only one win in the last four matches.

Sebastian Baez

Argentina

Current form

Baez defeated Damir Jumhur 6-1, 7-5 in the first round of the competition in Barcelona. Sebastian scored one ace against the Bosnian, made five break points and lost two games on his serve. The Argentine has 16 wins and five losses on clay this season.

Professional qualities

Baez is a typical representative of the defensive style of play, which is ideal for slow courts. He reads the game brilliantly, is distinguished by outstanding mobility and the ability to turn seemingly lost situations into his chances for a counterattack. His tenacity and perseverance allow him to withstand long and intense fights. However, a weak serve prevents the Argentine from succeeding on fast courts.

Current indicators in the tour

Baez won a major tournament in Rio de Janeiro on clay this season. It was the seventh ATP title of his career for the 24-year-old Argentine. Sebastian is currently ranked 35th in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

Baez left Barcelona last season after the second round.

Trends

Rune'sbetwith a handicap (+1.5) of a set

Rune won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 10 of the last 11 matches

1.25
1.25

Bet Baez with a handicap (+1.5) of a set

Baez has won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 15 of the last 17 matches

1.49
1.49

The 1st setbetis a victory for Baez

Baez won the 1st set in 5 of the last 6 matches.

2.16
2.16

Tip and bets

2.19Baez's victory

Rune has been unstable lately - either injuries have hindered the Dane, or illness has prevented him from proving himself at the recent Monte Carlo Masters. In general, Holger does not look like a representative of the top 20 of the world ranking at the moment, and we believe that it will be extremely difficult for him to pass Baez in the upcoming match.

Our betting tip is that Baez will win by a factor of 2.19

Do you agree with this bet?
1.82The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

Last season, the tennis players had a face-to-face match at the clay Masters in Rome. That match was played in three sets. Most likely, the upcoming meeting between Rune and Baes will also be protracted.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.82

Bet on the first set

In three of Baez's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Rune will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.93

Do you agree with this bet?

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2.17

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Betting predictions stat

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10tips
5win
0refund
5losing
-0.06%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit