LiontipsYair Rodriguez - Patricio Freire: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Yair Rodriguez is not at his best right now — he needs to win to prove that he is still a competitor in the UFC featherweight division. In recent fights, he lost to American Brian Ortega Bolev and Alexander Volkanovsky from Australia (by technical knockout). His interim UFC championship after defeating another U.S. representative, Josh Emmett, in 2023 already seems a long way off.
The 32-year-old Rodriguez has 17 wins (six by knockout, six by decision, five by submission) and five defeats. Yair ranks fifth in the division's ranking. The Mexican is also a former champion of the local Mexican Fighters Promotions tournament and holds a black belt in taekwondo.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Nzechukwu's punches is 47 percent.Nzechukwu finished his opponents in the first round in four fights.
Current form
After more than 20 years in MMA, Patricio Freire has finally got the chance to make his debut in the world's strongest mixed martial arts championship. However, at 37, he may be doing it too late. Pitbull approaches the fight after winning — he knocked out American Jeremy Kennedy in March 2024, becoming the last Bellator featherweight champion in history.
Before that, he lost by knockout to Chihiro Suzuki in the Japanese promotion RIZIN, and also unsuccessfully tried to win the Bellator bantamweight belt, losing to another US representative Sergio Pattis. Freire has 36 wins (13 by knockout, 12 by decision, 11 by submission) and seven defeats. He is ranked 36th in the MMA world rankings in his division. The Latin American holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Freire's takedowns is 18 percent.Freire has 12 career first-round wins.
Trends
Bet Rodriguez wins by decision of the judges
Rodriguez's points victory stats are 32 percent
2.23Tip and bets
Rodriguez is the favorite in this fight, and mostly because of Pitbull's age. The Mexican has a 15 cm advantage in arm span, as well as significant height. Given that the Brazilian has always missed quite a few punches, Yair will simply shoot him from a distance and confidently take the fight on points. Rodriguez's punch is spectacular, but he rarely finishes fights ahead of schedule in the UFC. At the same time, Freire is an extremely persistent fighter. Yes, he has another defeat by technical knockout, but there was a leg injury. There is confidence that the fight will reach the decision of the judges: thanks to the steadfastness of Patricio and Rodriguez's not-so-knockout style.
Our betting tip is that the total number of rounds is more than 2.5 in 1.54
