LiontipsMichael Chandler - Paddy Pimblett: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Michael Chandler is a three-time Bellator champion. He won his third belt in June 2016, made one successful defense, lost the second, but still received an invitation from Dana White. He doesn't do very well at the highest level. The debut turned out to be a victory over Dan Hooker (technical knockout, first round) from New Zealand in January 2021. But then everything is very bad. In the next match, Iron got a chance to take the vacant belt, but lost to Brazilian Charles Oliveira (technical knockout, second round).
This was followed by a defeat by his compatriot Justin Gaitji (unanimous decision), a victory over another US representative Tony Ferguson (knockout, second round). And in the last two fights there were failures again. Michael lost again to his compatriots Dustin Poirier (submission, third round) and Oliveira (unanimous decision). The 38-year-old Chandler has 23 wins (11 by knockout, five by decision, seven by submission) and nine defeats. The fighter from Missouri ranks seventh in the ranking of his division. He holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and was quite successful in wrestling as a student.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Chandler's punches is 50 percent. Chandler has finished opponents in the first round in 15 fights in his career.
Current form
Paddy Pimblett is a former Full Contact Contender and Cage Warriors Featherweight Champion. After his triumph in the English CWFC promotion, the Liverpool fighter almost immediately signed a contract with the UFC. In March 2021, he made his debut with a victory and has not lost a single match yet, his winning streak is eight fights. In the latter, in July 2024, he defeated American Bobby Green (submission, first round). And before that, he defeated Ferguson (unanimous), and other Americans Jared Gordon (unanimous) and Jordan Leavitt (submission, second round).
The 30-year-old Pimblett has 22 wins (five by knockout, six by decision, 11 by submission) and three defeats. He is ranked 12th in the division rankings. The Englishman holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Pimblett's takedowns is 25 percent.The accuracy of Pimblett's punches is 58 percent.
Trends
The bet is Pimblett's Victory by submission
The statistics of Pimblett's painful/suffocating wins is 45 percent.
9.20Tip and bets
Bookmaker analysts consider Pimblett the clear favorite of the upcoming match. But, in their opinion, Chandler will also have a good chance of success. The odds on an Englishman are quite tempting. However, this is held back by how unpredictable Chandler is as a fighter and the fact that he is the most violent and chaotic opponent Pimblett has ever faced. The American will have an advantage in striking technique, he will be able to break through to the opponent's chin and inflict damage. Pimblett's advantage on the ground is more significant than Chandler's advantage in standing. The Englishman is epic in submitting, he knows how to look for them perfectly. And Chandler's defense against submissives is pretty good. He held off Oliveira for a long time in his decisive defeat last year. It is worth paying attention to the total number of rounds. The fight won't go the whole distance.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 rounds in 1.85
