Brandon Moreno as Steve Erceg. Betting Tip for the fight

International

Brandon Moreno

Mexico

Flyweight

arena-cdmx

29 March 18:30 UTC

Stephen Erceg

Australia

Brandon Moreno, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, will face Steve Erceg in the main match of the evening. The fight will take place on March 30 as part of the UFC on ESPN 64 tournament in Mexico City (Mexico) at the CDMX Arena multi-purpose venue, which holds about 22,000 spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 03:40 Moscow time. Will the Mexican be able to succeed in a duel with the Australian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Brandon Moreno vs Stephen Erceg Prediction and Betting Tips (30.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Brandon Moreno

Mexico

Current form

Brandon Moreno started his professional career in 2011. He also competed in the Legacy Fighting Alliance, where he became the organization's light heavyweight champion. After his LFA triumph in 2019, the Mexican signed a contract with the Dana White League. A year later, a series of title fights with Brazilian Daveson Figueredo began. The first ended in a draw, the second was won (submission, third round), and the third title was lost in January 2022 (unanimous decision of the judges). In July of the same year, The Assassin Baby defeated Kai Kara-France from New Zealand and regained the championship belt. And in the first defense, Figueredo won for the second time in his career (technical knockout, third round).

Then there were two defeats. First from Brazilian Alexander Pantoja (split) and then from American Brandon Royal (split). But in the last match, he lost to Amir Albazi (unanimous decision) from Iraq. The 31-year-old Moreno has 22 wins (five by knockout, six by decision, 11 by submission) and nine defeats. Brandon is ranked second in the UFC lightweight division. The Latin American holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Interesting betting trends

Moreno's takedown success rate is 46 percent.

Stephen Erceg

Australia

Current form

Steve Erceg became the champion of the Australian Eternal MMA promotion in 2020, made a successful defense, and made his debut in the strongest mixed martial arts championship on the planet in 2023. He started in the UFC with three wins, defeating Czech David Dvorak (unanimous decision), Brazilian Alessandro Costa (unanimous decision) and American Matt Schnell (knockout, second round).

But then he suffered two defeats in a row, losing to Brazilian Alexander Pantoja (unanimous decision) and Cara-France (technical knockout, first round). The 29-year-old Erceg has seven wins (one by knockout, three by decision, three by submission) and three defeats. Astro Boy is ranked eighth in the division.

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of Erceg's takedowns is 26 percent.

Trends

Bet The duel will be complete

The two fighters have nine wins by decision of the judges.

1.55

Tip and bets

2.22Moreno's victory by decision of the judges

The bookmakers are sure that Moreno is the favorite. Yes, he lost the championship belt, but all his defeats are only on points, and he will fight in front of his native audience, where every blow from Erceg will be drowned out by the roar of the Mexican fans. Erceg is motivated to rehabilitate himself, but he will have to cope with the best jiu-jitsu in the division and Moreno's aggressive striking technique. The Australian does not have a pronounced knockout power, which means that the fight will almost certainly come to a decision.

Our prediction is that Moreno will win by a decision of the judges in 2.22

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