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Sobolenko - Pegula: betting tip for the Miami WTA match
Arina Sobolenko and Jessica Pegula will compete for the title in Miami on March 29. The Belarusian tennis player leads 6-2 in personal meetings and quite logically gets the status of the favorite from the bookmakers. Will Jessica be able to surprise the first racket of the world today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Who will get the main trophy of the competition?
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sobolenko, it can be said, went through the tournament path to the finals in one breath. Arina has not lost a single game in five matches played. The maximum she allowed was eight games played by Collins in the 1/8 finals. In the semifinals, Sobolenko, due to her aggressive style of play, did not leave a single chance to Paolini (6-2, 6-2). It should be noted that Arina has never won a title in Miami, until this year she had not made it past the quarterfinals here.
Professional qualities
Arina plays from a position of strength, anthropometric data allows her to play in an aggressive attacking manner. Special attention should be paid to the tennis player's powerful forehand and strong first serve.
Current indicators in the tour
Sobolenko holds the first position in the ranking without any problems and does not allow Igu Schwentek to get close to him. Since the beginning of the year, Arina has played 27 matches in the tour, in which she scored 23 victories.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sobolenko scored all five wins on the way to the final with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets.
- In four of the five matches played in Miami with Sobolenko's participation, no more than nine games were played in the first game.
Jessica Pegula
USACurrent form
For three years in a row, Pegula walked next to the finals in Miami, twice made it to the semifinals here, and once sheathed her racket in the quarterfinals. This time, Jessica has made progress and will fight for the title. Her tournament path was not the easiest. I had to play three sets three times. Special attention should be paid to the match of the third round, where Kalinskaya managed to snatch victory only in the decisive tie-break (6-7, 6-2, 7-6). In the semifinals, Pegula met fierce resistance from Eala, whom she beat in a tight fight (7-6, 5-7, 6-3).
Professional qualities
Jessica does not have outstanding anthropometric data, but she always strives to play in an aggressive attacking manner. She has a well-defined forehand, which she most often uses for finishing shots.
Current indicators in the tour
Pegula ranks fourth in the world ranking. This is one of the most stable tennis players on the tour, she avoids outright failures, and has been firmly in the top 10 for several years. In 2025, Jessica played 25 matches in the tour, in which she won 20 victories.
Interesting facts for betting
- On the way to the finals, Pegula lost sets to her rivals three times.
- In three of the last five matches, Pegula has played tie-breaks.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In only one of the eight face-to-face meetings, Sobolenko and Pegula exchanged sets they won.
1.42Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is how events unfolded on the court in two of Pegula's three previous matches.
2.21Tip and bets
Arina and Jessica know perfectly well what to expect from each other on the court, as they have played against each other eight times. Sobolenko was stronger in six of the eight head-to-head matches, and there is a high probability that she will win today, but she still moved very confidently through the tournament grid. At the same time, Pegula is not used to leaving the court without a fight, she has a solid first serve in her arsenal, in the last face-to-face battle in the US Open final last year Arina imposed a tight fight, which we are waiting for today.
Our prediction is that Pegula will win with a handicap of (+5) games with a coefficient of 1.65
Bet on the total
In the last face-to-face meeting, the tennis players played 24 games in two sets. Both have powerful serves in their arsenal and there is a high probability that the final will not end quickly.
The second bet is a total of more than 20.5 games for 1.90
Bet on the second set
Let's pay attention to the fact that in the last two matches of Pegula, more than nine games were played in the second game. We are also waiting for the tightest fight in this particular segment of the game in the final battle.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the second set is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 2.10
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