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Portugal - Denmark: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.10
On the road in the first game of the quarterfinals of the League of Nations, the Portuguese national team suffered a minimal defeat from Denmark. In the return leg on March 23, the hosts need to win in order to have a chance at the semifinals. Will the Portuguese be able to open the enemy's well-organized defenses at least once today? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets for the match?
Command Analysis
Portugal
PortugalCurrent form
The Portuguese played the group stage in the League of Nations confidently, taking first place with a six-point lead over Croatia. However, even then there were questions about away matches, as they managed to beat Scotland (0:0) and Croatia (1:1) on a visit. At the same time, Robert Martinez's team played flawlessly at home, scoring the maximum nine points. We also note the reliable defensive play that the team demonstrated during the group stage, conceding only five goals.
In Copenhagen, the Portuguese national team was the bookmakers' favorite, but it did not meet expectations. The team, in their usual style, had more possession of the ball than the opponent, but at the same time scored only two shots on target, while the Danes threatened the other's goal nine times. In some ways, the Portuguese were also lucky that they lost only with a one-goal difference, since the opponent had not yet converted a penalty.
Undoubtedly, in the second leg at home in Lisbon, the Portuguese will do their best to win back. Yet in Denmark, they didn't even come close to showing their full potential. Portugal won all the group stage matches on home turf, with Croatia, Scotland and Poland competing. At the same time, it is worth paying attention to the fact that with a difference of more than one goal, they outplayed only the Poles (5:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Otavio and Joao Cancelo will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the four previous matches involving the Portuguese national team, a 0-0 draw was recorded in the first half.
- No more than two goals have been scored in three of the last four Portuguese matches.
- In five of Portugal's last seven matches in the Nations League, both teams scored goals.
- In the last 13 matches in the LN, the Portuguese national team has not conceded more than one goal.
Approximate composition: Costa – Dalot, Dias, Veiga, Mendes – Vitinha, Palinha, Fernandes – Neto, Ronaldo, Leau.
Denmark
DenmarkCurrent form
In the group stage of the Nations League, the Danish national team could not compete on equal terms with Spain, but retained the second place. Then, in the final round, the Danes drew with the Serbs (0-0) and left them on the third line. At the same time, the gap from the Spaniards was a huge eight points.
Even during the group round, the Danes proved themselves to be the home team: they scored six out of eight points on their own field. Switzerland and Serbia won 2-0 with the same score, while the Spaniards lost 1-2. It was not a big surprise that in the quarterfinals with Portugal in Copenhagen, Brian Riemer's team not only looked decent, but even managed to win (1-0). Hoylund scored the winning goal in the 78th minute, and there was also an unrealized penalty and several dangerous moments. The Portuguese were saved by goalkeeper Costa, who caught the courage after a deflected penalty.
The Danes have a return game in Lisbon ahead, where it will be difficult to maintain a minimal advantage. The Danes did not run on the road in the current draw. They parted in peace with Serbia and Switzerland, and lost to the Spaniards with a minimum score of 0:1. Obviously, this time the national team will play with an eye on defense, which rarely allows itself outright failures.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bach, Dolberg, Poulsen and Habjerg will not play due to injuries. Entering the Damsgaard field is questionable today.
Interesting betting trends
- The Danes have drawn 0-0 in the first half in three of their last five matches.
- In five of the last seven away matches in the Nations League, the Danish national team has not won (two draws and three defeats)
- In 8 of the 10 previous matches in the League of Nations, the Danes scored goals.
- In five of the last seven away matches in the LN, Denmark was the first to miss.
Approximate composition: Schmeichel – R. Christensen, Andersen, Vestergaard, Mehle–Juhlmann, Nergor– Isaksen, Eriksen, Lindstrom– Bieret.
Trends
Denmark's Total cornerbetis more than 2.5
In eight of the last ten away matches in the Nations League, the Danish national team has served at least three passes from the corner flag.
1.47Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five matches of the Danish national team, goals have not been scored in each of the halves.
1.85The bet is an accurate score of 1:1
In two of the last four matches involving Portugal and Denmark, a draw was recorded.
7.201st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet was successful in the three previous duels of the Danes.
1.48Portugal's Total Offsiderateis more than 1.5
Stavka has played in 9 of the last 10 home matches of the Portuguese national team in the League of Nations
1.47Tip and bets
The Danes have gained a one-goal advantage, which they will defend with all their might in Lisbon today. Of course, Denmark has not been playing as convincingly away as at home for several years, but the national team has a very organized defense that rarely allows itself outright failures, even on the road. You can recall how during the group stage they held off Spain's powerful attacking onslaught, and then lost with a minimum score of 0.:1. The Portuguese in Copenhagen were completely unimpressed in attack, it is unlikely that they will be able to win today with a margin. We believe that the most optimal option for betting on the return game will be a total less.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.00
Betting on the outcome
Considering that Portugal showed almost nothing in attack in the first meeting, it is worth paying attention to the guests. Due to reliable defense, they may well achieve a peaceful outcome in the return leg, which will take them to the semifinals. And the Danes are dangerous on counterattacks, it's far from a fact that Costa will regularly help out his partners today.
The second bet is Denmark's victory with an Asian handicap (+1) with a coefficient of 1.88
Combined bid
Taking into account our expectations, it would be logical to play a combined bet that the Danes will not lose and no more than three goals will be scored in the match. Moreover, Portugal did not win in three of the four previous matches.
The betting tip is that Denmark will not lose and the total is less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.10
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