LiontipsBerrettini - Gaston: prediction and bets on the Miami ATP match
Command Analysis
Current form
Berrettini reached the quarterfinals in Doha and Dubai in February. Matteo left the Indian Wells Masters after the third round, losing to Stefanos Tsitsipas. On the open hard court this season, the Italian has won six matches and lost in five fights.
Professional qualities
Berrettini's game largely depends on the pitch. Matteo feels confident on all surfaces, and his powerful forehand helps him score a lot of easy points. Matteo's weak backhand can be called, because of which he cannot yet compete with representatives of the top 5 of the world ranking.
Current indicators in the tour
Berrettini played excellently on clay courts last season, where he managed to win three titles. He won in Marrakech, Gstaad and Kitzbuhel. In total, the 28-year-old Italian has won ten ATP trophies in his career. Matteo is currently in 30th place in the world ranking, although he was once sixth in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
4 of the last 5 matches involving Berrettini were played in two sets.
Current form
Gaston reached the second round of the Miami Masters on a bounce from Yoshihito Nishioka, who withdrew from the bout with a score of 4-6, 1-3. In 1 hour and 4 minutes of playing time, Hugo made two aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. The Frenchman has eight wins and six losses on the open hard court this season.
Professional qualities
Gaston prefers clay courts, but he also actively plays in the halls, which allowed him to adapt to fast surfaces. The Frenchman's serve and punches don't always have enough power, but he makes up for it with high technique and the ability to diversify the draws through non-standard actions, such as shortened strokes or an unexpected exit to the net.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season brought Gaston a victory at the home clay challenger in Lyon. It was the eighth title of his career for the 24-year-old Frenchman. Hugo is currently ranked 88th in the world rankings and has never been in the top 50 in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Gaston has won 4 of the last 6 matches.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
Gaston's last 13 matches were played in two sets.
1.33The Totalbetis less than 22.5
Gaston has played less than 22.5 games in his last 13 matches.
1.58Berrettini's ITrateis more than 12.5
Berrettini has won more than 12.5 games in 9 of the last 10 meetings
1.87The Totalbetis more than 20.5
He has played a total of more than 20.5 games in 9 of Berrettini's last 10 matches
1.72IT Gaston'srateis more than 7.5
Gaston has won more than 7.5 games in 9 of the last 10 meetings
1.64Tip and bets
Berrettini usually has no problems with lower-level opponents. He can lose to Tsitsipas or Draper, but he must not give in to Gaston. Moreover, the French tennis player has no knockout punches in his arsenal, while Matteo himself has a powerful serve and a killer forehand.
Our prediction is that Berrettini will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.73
Bet on the total
Last season, the tennis players played a face-to-face match as part of a clay tournament in Kitzbuhel. That match ended in two sets. We expect that the upcoming match between Berrettini and Gaston will also be a grassroots one.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.74
Bet on the first set
In three of Berrettini's last four matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Gaston will also start with the grassroots first party.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.85
