LiontipsBublik - Baes: prediction and bets on the Miami ATP match
Command Analysis
Current form
This season, Bublik has successfully performed only at the challenger in Phoenix. The representative of Kazakhstan passed several opponents in the fight, but could not cope with Joao Fonseca in the decisive match. Alexander lost to his opponent in two tiebreaks.
Before that, Bublik performed much worse and very often crashed at the start of the competition. For example, in Indian Wells, he lost to Japanese Watanuki in the first round.
Professional qualities
The bagel is a mood player. His actions on the court depend on which leg Alexander gets up from. If he's on a roll, it's very difficult to stop him. At the same time, he makes too many mistakes and often takes unnecessary risks.
Current indicators in the tour
Bublik once showed great promise and was the 17th racket of the world ranking. However, a series of unsuccessful results dropped him to 80th place.
Interesting facts for betting
In the last two seasons, Bublik has not made it past the second round in Miami. In 2024, he lost here to Matteo Arnaldi.
Current form
Baes ironed the ground to the last, but still decided to come to the hard tournament. The little Argentine has nothing to catch on fast surfaces, so he is not impressed with the results. For example, at the last Indian Wells competition, he lost in three sets to the 185th racket of the world ranking Matteo Gigante.
But Baez has a lot of success on the ground. He has won 12 of 15 matches on this surface this season.
Professional qualities
Baez is only 170 centimeters tall. With such anthropometric data, it is difficult for him to compete with tall rivals. Sebastian gets lost on fast surfaces, but he tries to compensate for all this by playing well on the ground.
Current indicators in the tour
Baes consistently holds positions in the top 50 of the world ranking. At the moment, the Latin American is on the 36th line.
Interesting facts for betting
Baes has not won a single hard court match this season. He has three defeats on this surface.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets
In 4 of Baez's last 5 matches, sets were exchanged.
1.681st setbet: total less than 9.5 games
In 3 of Baez's last 5 matches, there were no more than 9 games scored in the first set.
1.82Tip and bets
Bublik is far from his optimal playing form, but even in this state he must beat Baez with his eyes closed. The Argentine operates on a non-core surface for himself and in previous matches lost to weaker opponents than the representative of Kazakhstan.
We believe that Alexander will have no problems. We expect a landslide victory in the performance of the Bagel.
Our betting tip is a Bagel with a handicap of (-2.5) games in 1.83
Bet on the total
Bublik played his last matches uncertainly. For example, in 4 of the 5 previous matches of the representative of Kazakhstan, at least 26 games were played. It is possible that in the confrontation with Baez, he will also arrange a swing.
The betting tip is a total of more than 21.5 games in 1.62
Tiebreak bet
In Bagel matches, tiebreakers are played too often. For example, it has been played three times in the last three matches. We expect that this will also happen in the confrontation with Baez.
Betting Tip — tie-break - yes for 2.25
