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Draper is an Alcaraz. Prediction for the ATP Indian Wells match

USA
Jack Draper
Great Britain
BNP Paribas Open
stadium-1

Draper and Alcaraz will meet in the semifinals of the Indian Wells tournament on March 16. Alcaraz leads 3-1 in personal meetings. He beat Draper in the Australian Open this season. What bets should you pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction and Betting Tips (16.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Jack Draper

Great Britain

Current form

Draper defeated Ben Shelton in the quarterfinals of the Indian Wells Masters 6-4, 7-5. In the confrontation with the American, Jack made three aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. Earlier, the Briton passed Taylor Fritz, Jenson Brooksby and Joao Fonseca in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

Draper is now in excellent physical shape, which allows him to actively move around the court and deliver powerful punches. He knows how to vary his serve, from curveballs to flat hits at key moments. However, this is where his tactical diversity in the draws actually ends.

Current indicators in the tour

Draper won his last career title last season, winning the indore competition in Vienna. For Jack, it was the second ATP title of his career. The 23-year-old Briton is currently ranked 14th in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

Draper has 11 wins and only two losses on the open hard this season.

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain

Current form

At the Indian Wells Masters, Alcaraz defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-3, 7-6 in the quarterfinals. Carlos made five aces, made two break points, and lost one game on his serve. Earlier, the Spaniard passed Grigor Dimitrov, Denis Shapovalov and Kanten Gali in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

Alcaraz has almost no weaknesses. Carlos is perfect in almost everything. In addition, over the past couple of months, he has significantly improved the level of his serve. Add to this his reaction and speed, which are never in doubt, and you get a formidable opponent on any surface.

Current indicators in the tour

Alcaraz has won 18 ATP titles in his career. This season, Carlos won the indore competition in Rotterdam. The 21-year-old Spaniard is currently in third place in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

Alcaraz defends last year's title on the courts of Indian Wells.

Trends

There is no Tie-breakbetin the match

This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Alcaraz matches.

1.52
1.52

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1

In 3 of Draper's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario

2.26
2.26

Tip and bets

2.11Alcaraz with a head start (-4)

Both tennis players are now in their optimal forms. For sure, the upcoming match will be held in wrestling, but still, Alcaraz's level is noticeably higher than Draper's capabilities. The Spaniard is very good now and, as it seems to us, he is unlikely to concede even a set to the British.

Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-4) games by a factor of 2.11

Do you agree with this bet?
1.96The total is less than 22

Bet on the total

Draper and Alcaraz had previously met four times in their careers. The last three face-to-face matches between them were played in two sets. Most likely, the upcoming match between the tennis players will also be grassroots.

The second betting tip is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.96

Bet on the first set

In three of Alcaraz's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming duel against Draper will begin with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.85

Do you agree with this bet?

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Betting predictions stat

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370tips
172win
37refund
161losing
-2.6%of profit
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428tips
218win
29refund
181losing
-13.05%of profit