Alexander Hernandez as Kurt Holobau. Betting Tip for the fight
Alexander Hernandez, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category, will face Kurt Holobau. The fight will take place on March 16 as part of the UFC Fight Night 254 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the UFC Apex arena, which holds about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 03:00 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a fight with his compatriot and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Alexander Hernandez

Current form
Alexander Hernandez became the champion of the Hero Fighting Championship in 2016, joined the Legacy Fighting Alliance, and made his debut in the Dana White League in March 2018. In the UFC, the American performs with varying success. In the last match in October 2024, he defeated his compatriot Austin Hubbard (split decision). But before that, he was defeated by two other U.S. representatives, Damon Jackson (split) and Bill Algio (unanimous). The 32-year-old Hernandez has 15 wins (six by knockout, seven by decision, two by submission) and eight defeats.
Interesting betting trends
Hernandez's takedown success rate is 24 percent.

Kurt Holobaugh

Current form
Kurt Holobau is a former champion of the Titan Fighting Championship and Xtreme Fighting Championships. He is also the champion of The Ultimate Fighter 31 tournament. He won this title in a duel in March 2023 against his compatriot Austin Hubbard (submission, second round). But in the next fight, The Hurt lost to another U.S. representative, Trey Ogden (unanimous decision). And in the last match in July 2024, he defeated Brazilian Kainan Kruszewski (unanimous decision). The 21-year-old Holobau has 21 wins (seven by knockout, five by decision, nine by submission. Kurt holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Holobau takedowns is 27 percent.
Trends
The bet is Hernandez's victory on points
The statistics of Hernandez's wins by decision of the judges is 47 percent.
1.96Tip and bets
The bookmakers don't believe in the success of Holobau at all. In their opinion, Hernandez is without a doubt the clear favorite of this fight. In general, that's the way it is. But its instability makes betting on a winner risky. Instead, you should opt for a full-on bet. Alexander's last four fights reached the referee's decision, while Holobo's had three out of four.
Our betting tip is that the match will be complete in 1.53