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Kotov - Fonseca. Prediction for the ATP Phoenix match

USA
Pavel Kotov
Russian Federation
Phoenix

Kotov and Fonseca will meet in the first round of the tournament in Phoenix on March 12. Fonseca has already won two tournaments this season. How successful will the challenger in Phoenix be for the Brazilian? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Pavel Kotov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction and Betting Tips (12.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Pavel Kotov

Russian Federation

Current form

Kotov played qualifying at the Indian Wells Masters last week, beating Coleman Wong in the first round, but then losing to Colton Smith. Pavel has four wins and seven losses on the open hard this season.

Professional qualities

Kotov does not succeed on the hard court, where his game is not as effective as, for example, on the ground or in the gym. On an open hard drive, his results leave much to be desired. The reason for this is two problems - his serve, although powerful, is unstable, and the percentage of hitting the first ball is low. He also doesn't move too fast around the court, which makes it difficult for him to withstand long exchanges of punches on the back line.

Current indicators in the tour

Kotov has won six trophies in his career, including no ATP titles yet. In the world ranking, the Russian is now in 102nd place, although he was once 50th.

Interesting facts for betting

In the last three matches with Kotov, three tie-breaks were played.

Joao Fonseca

Brazil

Current form

Fonseca managed to play two matches at the Indian Wells Masters this week. He defeated Jacob Fearnley in the first round, but then he lost to Jack Draper. The Brazilian has ten wins and two losses on the open hard this season.

Professional qualities

Fonseca tries to play aggressively, sometimes even unnecessarily, and at the same time he has no problems moving around the court. All of his punches are powerful, and the backhand can compete with many forehands in terms of speed. He often performs both strokes with a top spin, which helps him to better control the depth of his strokes.

Current indicators in the tour

Fonseca is currently ranked 80th in the world rankings. This season, the Brazilian tennis player has already recorded two trophies he won - he won on the outdoor hard court in Canberra and held the victory at a major tournament in Buenos Aires, which was held on clay. In total, Joao has four titles in his career, two of which are in the ATP category.

Interesting facts for betting

Fonseca has won 6 of the last 8 matches.

Trends

The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes

This bet played in 3 of Fonseca's 5 previous matches.

2.87
2.87

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1

In 3 of Kotov's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario

2.21
2.21

Tip and bets

1.89Cats with a head start (+5)

You definitely shouldn't overestimate Fonseca's capabilities. Joao still does not have the stability that allows him to show good results from tournament to tournament. We believe that it will not be easy for the Brazilian to get a five-game head start in the upcoming match.

Our betting tip is that Kotov will win with a handicap of (+5) games for a coefficient of 1.89

Do you agree with this bet?
1.81The total is more than 21

Bet on the total

Fonseca is definitely the favorite in this pair. However, he should hardly expect an easy ride in this match. Kotov knows how to tune in to difficult opponents, so this fight will most likely turn out to be a riding match.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.81

Bet on the first set

In three of Kotov's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Fonseca will also begin with the riding of the first game.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.06

Do you agree with this bet?

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TOP Tips

5 May | 12:00
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