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Svitolina - Pegula: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match

USA
Elina Svitolina
Ukraine
BNP Paribas Open
stadium-2

Exactly one month ago, at the Doha tournament, Elina Svitolina lost to Jessica Pegula in the second round. In Indian Wells on March 11, the Ukrainian tennis player gets the opportunity to take revenge and make it to the quarterfinals. How will the next face-to-face meeting between the tennis players go and which exact bets should I choose? - the answer is in the betting tip of our tennis analyst

Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula Prediction and Betting Tips (11.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Elina Svitolina

Ukraine

Current form

After the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, Svitolina did not have the most successful stretch, she could not overcome more than one round in three tournaments in a row. Nevertheless, Elina has already completed two rounds in Indian Wells, confirming the status of the favorite, which the bookmakers assigned her, in the confrontations with Kruger (6-1, 6-7, 6-3) and Collins (6-2, 6-4). The victory was largely due to more stable and confident actions on the back line.

Professional qualities

Svitolina is distinguished by her endurance, moves well around the court, gets difficult balls on the back line. The key to her success is a reliable defensive game and the ability to attack sharply at the right moment. Let's note the confident and well-placed backhand of the tennis player.

Current indicators in the tour

Elina is unable to spend the season smoothly and consistently. However, at the moment she has eight wins and four losses in her statistics. Svitolina is currently ranked 23rd in the ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

  • Svitolina has played four tiebreakers in her last five matches.
  • In three of Svitolina's five previous matches, more than nine games were played in the second game.

Jessica Pegula

USA

Current form

Pegula brought herself to the start in Indian Wells in excellent playing tone. The day before, Jessica warmed up in Austin, where she won the title, beating Kessler in the final (7-5, 6-2). In the opening two rounds in Indian Wells, the fourth racket of the world did not have any difficulties. She defeated Lynette (6-4, 6-2) and Wang Xin Yu (6-2, 6-1) with more than confidence. Thus, Jessica noticeably improved her last year's result at the tournament, when she sheathed her racket at the end of the second round.

Professional qualities

Jessica, despite not having the most outstanding anthropometric data, plays attacking tennis and acts aggressively on the court. Her serve is not the strongest, but it is diverse, tactically clear, and she usually serves great in the field.

Current indicators in the tour

In 2025, Pegula managed to win 15 matches in the round, with only four defeats. Today, one of them is in fourth place in the ranking, and the best achievement in her career is in third place.

Interesting facts for betting

  • Pegula's winning streak reached seven matches, in six of them she won with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets.
  • In the three previous matches involving Jessica, no more than nine games were played in the second game.

Trends

The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets

In three of the last four head-to-head matches, the tennis players exchanged their sets.

2.35
2.35

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1

In four of Svitolina's last five matches, more games were played in the second game than in the first

2.21
2.21

Tip and bets

1.68Pegula with a head start (-2)

In the bookmaker line, Pegula acts as a favorite, which is hard to argue with. Jessica purposefully prepared for Indian Wells, won the title in Austin the day before, and did not experience any difficulties in two matches on local courts. Svitolina is not as stable as her opponent, you can see decent fluctuations in her game. At the moment, the American is more stable than Elina, which will bring her victories and reaching the quarterfinals.

Our prediction is that Pegula will win with a handicap of (-2) games with a coefficient of 1.68

Do you agree with this bet?
1.62The total is more than 20

Bet on the total

In face-to-face confrontations, the American has a noticeable advantage, having won five of the seven matches. At the same time, Svitolina often forced the fight, in the last four face-to-face meetings, more than 21 games were played. We do not think that Jessica will defeat the Ukrainian tennis player today.

The second bet is a total of more than 20 games for 1.62

Bet on the second set

It should be noted that in three of the last five matches with Svitolina, a tight struggle unfolded in the second game, where more than nine games were played. We expect that this time, too, in this segment of the game, it is worth waiting for the top in terms of total.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the second set with a coefficient of 2.24

Do you agree with this bet?

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