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Mertens - Keys: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match

USA
Elise Mertens
Belgium
BNP Paribas Open
stadium-2

In the last two face-to-face fights that took place on hard court in the USA, Elise Mertens beat Madison Keys in a hard fight. This time, on March 10 in Indian Wells, the American has a chance to take revenge. What to expect from the match and which bets to pay close attention to? We recommend that you review our betting tip

Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys Prediction and Betting Tips (10.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Elise Mertens

Belgium

Current form

Mertens spends the season at his usual level, achieving success most often where there is not the strongest competition. So, the Belgian tennis player has the title of the tournament in Singapore. In Indian Wells, she started immediately from the second round and beat Birrell 6-4, 7-5. As for the game, we note that not everything worked out – seven double faults, she gave up her serve twice, but her opponent played even worse.

Professional qualities

The Belgian tennis player has a rich technical arsenal, and her doubles skills are important. At the same time, Mertens often flirts, cannot always maintain a high tempo when exchanging punches, which is imposed on her by top rivals. Because of this, she has not been able to make her debut in the top 10 throughout her career, you can always see her somewhere nearby.

Current indicators in the tour

Mertens is currently the 28th racket of the world. Since the beginning of the year, she has won 14 out of 18 matches in the round. In addition to the title in Singapore, she also had the final in Hobart in early January.

Interesting facts for betting

  • In the last eight matches with Mertens, the minimum number of sets was played.
  • In the previous two face-to-face matches, Mertens beat Keys.

Madison Keys

USA

Current form

Keyes impressed with her performance and results at the start of the season. Madison won the title in Adelaide and became the winner of the Australian Open. After that success, the American took a break, but it looks like she hasn't lost her great form. At the start in Indian Wells, she defeated Potapova (6-3, 6-0). At the moment, the American has a winning streak of 13 matches.

Professional qualities

Madison is a purely attacking tennis player with a powerful first serve and a strong forehand. Her element is the quick completion of draws in one or two strokes.

Current indicators in the tour

In total, since the beginning of the year, Keyes has played 16 matches in the round, in which she won 15 victories. Thanks to the Australian Open title, Madison rose to fifth place in the world ranking, which is her highest career achievement.

Interesting facts for betting

  • Keys has scored four of her last five tour wins in three sets.
  • In the previous five matches involving the American, no more than nine games were played in the second game.

Trends

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2

In three of the four previous head-to-head matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario

2.25
2.25

Bet 2nd set: total less than 9.5 games

This bet was successful in four out of five face-to-face meetings.

1.65
1.65

Tip and bets

1.7Keys with a head start (-3)

Mertens won the last two head-to-head battles, but it is unlikely that she will be able to develop a successful streak today. Keyes is having a great season, as the game with Potapova showed, there is no decline after the triumph in Melbourne for the American. We do not think that Eliza will be able to cope with the attacking pressure of her opponent today.

Our prediction is that the Keys will win with a handicap of (-3) games with a coefficient of 1.70

Do you agree with this bet?
1.89The total is less than 21

Bet on the total

At the start in Indian Wells, Keyes played against Potapova and gave her only three games. We believe that this time, due to her powerful attacking tennis, she will not allow the unstable Mertens to claim something serious.

The second bet is a total of less than 21 games for 1.89

Bet on the first set

Note that in two of the three previous face-to-face meetings, more than nine games were played in the first set. We think that this time, too, the starting game will be crucial in many ways.

The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 2.04

Do you agree with this bet?

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5 May | 12:00
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1.70

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Betting predictions stat

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15tips
6win
0refund
9losing
-0.36%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit