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Arnaldi-Nakashima. Prediction for the ATP Indian Wells match
Arnaldi and Nakashima will meet in the third round of the Indian Wells tournament on March 11. Arnaldi knocked Rublev out of the title race in the second round, beating the Russian in two sets. Will Matteo be able to make it to the quarterfinals of the American Masters? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
Arnaldi defeated Andrey Rublev (6-4, 7-5) in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters. In the match against the Russian, Matteo did not make a single ace, made six break points and lost four games on his serve. In the first round, the Italian turned out to be stronger than Aleksandar Kovacevich.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi, as a ground-oriented player, has mastered the technique typical of such tennis players well. His serve is not his main advantage. His two—handed backhand is quite powerful, but more often than not he prefers to use a forehand that is more convenient for him, actively moving around the court.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi won his last title in his career in 2023, when he won the dirt challenger in Heilbronn. In total, the Italian has won six trophies in his career, among which there is not yet one in the ATP category. Matteo is ranked 35th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Most recently, Arnaldi beat Nakashima in a tournament in Delray Beach.
Brandon Nakashima
USACurrent form
Nakashima started the Indian Wells Masters with a 7-5, 6-1 victory over Rinki Hijikata. Brandon made 14 aces during the match, made three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. For the American, it was his seventh victory on the open hard court this season, with five losses.
Professional qualities
Nakashima is a typical American school tennis player with aggressive serve, powerful forehand and stable two-handed backhand. Its special feature is the ability to make good combinations and follow a clear game plan. He acts confidently at the net and plays well in the rally. His weaknesses include instability and difficulties in matches against strong opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
Nakashima is the 33rd racket of the world. This is his highest position in the world ranking. The American has won eight titles in his career, including two in the ATP category. Last season, Brandon won the open hardboard challenge in Tenerife.
Interesting facts for betting
Nakashima has won the last six matches, in which he was the clear favorite.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Arnaldi's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.32There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of Nakashima's 5 previous matches.
1.71Tip and bets
As you can see, the slow courts of Indian Wells perfectly suited Arnaldi's playing style. In the second round, Matteo dealt with Rublev in two games. We believe that Nakashima and his attacking style of play will not be a serious problem for Matteo.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win by a factor of 2.01
Bet on the total
Both Arnaldi and Nakashima are approaching the upcoming match in optimal playing conditions. Most likely, in this pair we will have a fight and three games played.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.89
Bet on the first set
In three of Nakashima's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Arnaldi will also start with the riding of the first game.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.04
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