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Rublev is Arnaldi. Prediction for the ATP Indian Wells match

USA
Andrey Rublev
Russian Federation
BNP Paribas Open
stadium-4

Rublev and Arnaldi will meet in the second round of the Indian Wells tournament on March 8. Rublev has a good history of performing at Indian Wells. He had reached the semifinals on the local courts earlier in his career. What will be the Russian's start at this year's tournament? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction and Betting Tips (08.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Andrey Rublev

Russian Federation

Current form

Rublev has five wins and three losses on the open hard this season. Andrey played his last tournament in Dubai, where he sheathed his racket in the first round, losing to Kanten Gali.

Professional qualities

Rublev is unstable and subject to the influence of external factors both on and off the court. The Russian's attacking style is effective only if he has complete composure and excellent physical fitness, but if something fails, the whole game immediately collapses.

Current indicators in the tour

Rublev has already won one tournament this season - he won the competition in Doha. It was the 17th ATP title of his career for the Russian. Andrey is currently in eighth place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

Three tie-breaks were played in the last four matches with Rublev.

Matteo Arnaldi

Italy

Current form

Arnaldi defeated Alexander Kovachevich (6-3, 5-7, 6-4) in the first round of the Indian Wells competition. In the confrontation with the American, Matteo made seven aces, made four break points and lost three games on his serve. For the Italian, it was his fourth victory on the open hard court this season in eight fights.

Professional qualities

Arnaldi is a clay specialist, but over the past two seasons he has managed to achieve good results on the outdoor hard court, for example, last season he reached the semifinals at the Masters in Montreal. His serve is fast but unstable, and his main weapon remains a technical forehand. However, neither the Italians on the right nor on the left have enough power.

Current indicators in the tour

Arnaldi is the 35th racket of the world at the moment. During his career, the Italian tennis player has won six trophies, among which there is not yet a single ATP title. He won his last trophy in 2023 on the challenger clay courts in Heilbronn.

Interesting facts for betting

Arnaldi lost the last two matches, in which he was the underdog.

Trends

The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes

This bet was played in 3 of Arnaldi's 5 previous matches.

1.98
1.98

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2

In 3 of Rublev's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario

2.31
2.31

Tip and bets

1.84Rublev with a handicap (-3)

Rublev had plenty of time to properly prepare for the Indian Wells Masters. So Andrey is in optimal shape for the tournament. And most importantly, he is in excellent mental condition, because he recently won a tournament in Doha.

Our betting tip is Rublev's victory with a handicap of (-3) games for a coefficient of 1.84

Do you agree with this bet?
1.89The total is less than 23

Bet on the total

Rublev confidently defeated Arnaldi in two sets at the Montreal Masters last season. Most likely, Andrey will also confidently beat the Italian on the Masters courts in Indian Wells.

The second betting tip is a total of less than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.89

Bet on the first set

In three of Arnaldi's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming match against Rublev will also start with the first game on horseback.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.68

Do you agree with this bet?

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