Justin Gaitji as Rafael Fiziev. Betting Tip for the fight
Justin Gaitji, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category, will face Rafael Fiziev. The fight will take place on March 9 as part of the UFC 213 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the T-Mobile Arena multifunctional venue, which can accommodate about one 18 thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 07:00 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a duel with a fighter from Azerbaijan and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Justin Gaethje

Current form
Justin Gaitji was quite successful in wrestling before joining mixed martial arts in 2011. The American's career in MMA started excellently. He almost immediately became the World Series of Fighting champion, made five successful defenses, and received an invitation to the Dana White League in 2016. The fighter from Arizona is a former UFC champion, having won the belt in a duel with American Tony Ferguson (technical knockout, second round). But in the very first defense, he lost to Russian Khabib Nurmagomedov (submission, second round). A little later, The Highlight got the opportunity to become champion for the second time, but lost to Brazilian Charles Oliveira (submission, first round).
But after defeating Rafael Fiziev (unanimous decision), his confidence returned. The American defeated his compatriot Dustin Poirier and won the symbolic BMF championship belt. But in the last match in April 2024, the fighter from Arizona lost to his compatriot Max Holloway (knockout, fifth round). The 36-year-old Gaitji has 25 wins (20 by knockout, four by decision, one by submission) and five defeats. He is ranked third in the UFC lightweight rankings.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Gaitji's takedowns is 25 percent.

Rafael Fiziev

Current form
Before joining mixed martial arts in 2015, Rafael Fiziev tried his hand at Muay Thai and kickboxing quite successfully. In April 2019, the Azerbaijani debuted in the UFC with a defeat, but then won six victories in a row. The successful streak was interrupted by two defeats. He first lost to American Justin Gaitji (unanimous decision), and in the last in September 2023 to Pole Mateusz Gamrot (technical knockout, second round).
The 32-year-old Fiziev has 12 wins (eight by knockout, three by decision, one by submission) and three defeats. Ataman ranks 13th in the division's ranking.
Interesting betting trends
The statistics of Fiziev's victories by knockout is 67 percent.
Trends
Bet Victory by Gaitji Knockout
Gaitji's knockout victory statistics are 80 percent
3.95Tip and bets
Bookmaker experts found it difficult to name a clear favorite of the upcoming match. In their opinion, Fiziev will have a slight advantage. In general, that's the way it is. Gaitji has had a long career marked by some of the toughest fights in MMA history. In most cases, his self-control allowed him to stand up. However, in his last fight against Holloway, he was knocked out. This is a serious cause for concern. Fiziev has not entered the octagon since he suffered a serious knee injury in September 2023. Yes, he has long recovered from surgery and has been cleared to fight, but it is difficult to say whether his leg will withstand the pressure, as well as the hard kicks in such a tense duel. In this situation, it is worth choosing a bet that the fight will not go the entire distance.
Our betting tip is that the match will not be complete in 1.81