Manel Kape - Asu Almabaev betting tip and bets for the fight

Flyweight. ufc-apex

Manel KapePortugal

Assu AlmabaevKazakhstan

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The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, Manel Capet, will face Asa Almabaev. The fight will take place on March 2 as part of the UFC Fight Night 253 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the UFC Apex venue, which can accommodate about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 05:00 Moscow time. Will a fighter from Angola be able to succeed in a duel with a Kazakhstani and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Manel Kape

Current form

Manel Capet started his professional career in 2012. Previously, he performed in organizations such as Cage Fighters, Knock Out Championship and Rizin Fighting Federation. He is a former Rizin champion and a former Knock Out Championship champion. After his triumph in the Japanese promotion, the African joined the Dana White League in 2021. Starboy has won five of his last six matches. In the previous one, in December 2024, he defeated Brazilian Bruno Silva (technical knockout, third round). But before that, he lost to Muhammad Mokaev, who was competing under the flag of England (unanimous decision of the judges).

The 31-year-old has 18 wins (11 by knockout, three by decision, four by submission) and seven defeats. He is ranked sixth in the division.

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of the Cape takedowns is 32 percent.

Assu Almabaev

Current form

Before joining the world's strongest mixed martial arts championship in 2023, Asa Almabayev competed in M-1 Global, where he won the title of interim champion. His winning streak is already 17 fights. In the latter, in October 2024, he defeated Brazilian Mateus Nicolau (unanimous decision). Before that, he defeated the Americans Jose Johnson (unanimous decision), C.J. Vergara (unanimous decision) and Audie Osborne (submission, second round).

The 31-year-old Almabayev has 21 wins (three by knockout, nine by decision, nine by submission) and two defeats. The fighter from Kazakhstan ranks eighth in the division ranking.

Interesting betting trends

Almabayev's takedowns are 55 percent successful.

Trends

Bet Almabayev's victory on points

The statistics of Almabayev's victories by decision of the judges is 43 percent.

3.44

Tip and bets

TipThe duel will be complete

1.86

Bookmaker analysts consider Kape to be the clear favorite of the upcoming match. In their opinion, Almabayev will not have many chances of success. However, they overestimate the chances of an African athlete. The Kazakhstani is not a timid fighter and also knows the taste of high—profile victories. A small mistake and the fight can go according to an unpredictable scenario. In this situation, it is better to choose a bet that the fight will go the whole distance. The two fighters have 12 wins by decision of the judges.

Our betting tip is that the match will be complete in 1.86

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