LiontipsFreiburg – Werder Bremen forecast (cf 4.00) and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Freiburg is hitting the current stretch of the season, has given out a series of three wins. The rivals, however, were teams from the bottom of the table – Bochum, Heidenheim and St. Pauli. In all these matches, an accurate score of 1 was recorded.:0. Julian Schuster's team demonstrated a very pragmatic and in many ways modest football.
In general, throughout the season, Freiburg takes maximum advantage where it is possible, where there are not the most formidable opponents. It's not easy with leaders. Recall that on the eve of the winning streak there were three defeats in a row from Eintracht Frankfurt (1:4), Stuttgart (0:4) and Bayern Munich (1:2). Nevertheless, due to their stability in confrontations with not the strongest opponents, the Brazilians from Breisgau are in fifth place in the table by the start of the 23rd round and are only one point behind Leipzig, which closes the top 4.
Quite habitually, for several seasons now, Freiburg has been holding powerful home matches. It should be noted that the team scored 22 of its total 36 points on its own field. Moreover, since the beginning of the season, only two defeats have been recorded in the Bundesliga at the Europa Park arena. Let's add to this that we managed to win the previous two home matches against Werder Bremen.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ogbus, Gulde, Kjere will not play today due to injuries. The entry of Musli and Kubler into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- There has been no goal exchange in four of Freiburg's last five matches.
- In five of the previous seven Bundesliga matches, Freiburg scored first.
- Freiburg have not lost at home in six of their previous seven league matches.
The approximate line-up: Atubolu – Sildilla, Ginter, Linhart, Gunther – Osterhage, Eggestein – Doan, Rolle, Grifo – Heler.
Current form
Werder Bremen were happy with their performance before the Christmas break, going on a four-match winning streak. However, after a short break, the team seemed to be replaced – only one match out of seven was won. There were defeats in the previous two rounds. With Bayern on the road, there was initially little chance of success (0-3). But the 1-3 home defeat by Hoffenheim clearly demonstrates that Ole Werner's team is in a decent crisis.
Against the background of recent failures, Werder dropped to tenth place in the standings and is unlikely to be able to compete for European cups, given the serious competition. The gap from the top 6 reached five points on the eve of the 23rd round. At the same time, in case of further failures, there are prerequisites for the fact that you will have to leave the top 10, since Borussia Dortmund is just one point behind.
The hopes today are connected, oddly enough, with the factor of the away match. Werder Bremen is among the top 6 best Bundesliga teams in terms of away goals, with 17 points scored. However, recently you can see unfortunate results here too – a series of three matches without a win (two defeats and a draw).
Disqualifications and injuries
Friedl and Topp will not play today due to injuries. Stage's entry into the field is questionable. The most significant loss is Marco Friedl, the captain and leader of the Bremen defense.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the previous five matches, Werder Bremen did not exchange goals with their opponents.
- Werder Bremen had not won in the first half in four of the previous five matches.
- Bremen have scored at least three goals in six of their last eight Bundesliga matches.
- Werder Bremen have not won in five of the last seven away matches in the championship.
Approximate composition: Zetterer – Velkovich, Stark, Jung – Weiser, Bittencourt, Linen, Ken– Njinma, Schmid – Duksh.
Trends
The total cornerrateof Freiburg is more than 4.5
In seven of the last nine face-to-face meetings at home in the Bundesliga, Freiburg has served more than four innings from the corner flag.
1.561st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
Stavka has played in five of the last six face-to-face matches
1.41The exact score is 1:0
Freiburg has scored the last three wins with this score
8.40Bet Goals in both halves – no
In seven of the last eight face-to-face matches, goals have not been scored in each of the halves.
1.72The totalrateof Freiburg's yellow cards is more than 1.5
In six of the last eight face-to-face meetings at home in Bundesliga matches, Freiburg players have received at least two warnings.
1.67Bet "Freiburg" will score in the first half
In two of the last three matches, Freiburg scored in the opening 45 minutes.
1.89Tip and bets
When choosing a bet for the upcoming match, we recommend starting from the hosts. Despite not playing the brightest game, Freiburg has achieved three wins in a row, has shown much better results at home throughout the season than away, and won the previous two head-to-head matches on their own field. Plus, Werder is clearly on a decent decline right now, we are far from facing the same team as we were back in December, and the defeat in the last round by Hoffenheim clearly revealed all the problems of Bremen. We recommend a forecast for the victory of the hosts.
Our forecast is that Freiburg will win by a factor of 2.20
Bet on the total
Freiburg succeeds largely due to their reliable defensive play. It is no coincidence that the Brazilians from Breisgau scored the last three victories with a dry score of 1:0. In addition, the statistics of personal meetings speak less in favor of the total: only twice in the eight previous face-to-face matches more than two goals were scored.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.05
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the previous three matches, Freiburg scored wins with a minimal one-goal advantage. Julian Schuster's team is distinguished by its pragmatic game, does not seek to arrange defeats at any cost and increase the advantage gained during the matches.
The forecast is a victory for Freiburg with a one–goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.00
