Jared Gordon as Mashrabjon Ruziboev. Forecast for the fight
Fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category Jared Gordon will face Mashrabjon Ruziboev. The fight will take place on February 16 as part of the UFC Fight Night 251 tournament in Las Vegas at the UFC Apex venue, which can accommodate about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 01:40 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a duel with a fighter from Uzbekistan and which bets to choose? — read in our forecast

Command Analysis

Jared Gordon

Current form
Jared Gordon became the Cage Fury Fighting Championships champion in 2016, made a successful defense and signed a contract with the Dana White League. But he's not very good at fighting at the top level. The American lost in the last two out of three matches. In the previous one, in June 2024, he lost to Nasrat Hakparast (split decision of the judges) Morocco, as well as the Englishman Paddy Pimblett (unanimous). And the fight with American Bobby Green ended in a draw. The 36-year-old Gordon has 20 wins (seven by knockout, 11 by decision, two by submission) and seven defeats. Jared holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Interesting betting trends
Gordon's decision victory stats are 55 percent

Mashrabjon Ruziboev

Current form
Mashrabjon Ruziboev only learned a few days ago about the invitation to the strongest mixed martial arts championship on the planet. Due to visa issues, Caue Fernandez will not be able to fight with Gordon. The eliminated fighter will be replaced by the UFC debutant, who is currently on a seven-game winning streak, with six of them coming in the first round. The fighter from Central Asia has had his last two fights in the Russian Open Fighting Championship promotion. In the previous one, in October 2023, he defeated Nurzhigit Karaev (technical knockout, first round) from Kyrgyzstan, and before that defeated Brazilian Neriz de Oliveira (technical knockout, first round). The 28-year-old Ruziboev has 19 wins (11 by knockout, three by decision, five by submission) and four defeats.
Interesting betting trends
Ruziboev's knockout victory statistics are 58 percent.
Trends
Ruziboev's Early Victoryrate
Ruziboev has 16 early victories on his account.
3.22Tip and bets
Gordon approaches the upcoming fight as a clear favorite. Bookmakers believe that it will be almost impossible to achieve victory on short notice. But the BC analyst overestimates the chances of the American too much. Of course, he has more experience in the UFC, but the Uzbek also knows the taste of championship victories. A small mistake and you can miss the knockout blow from Mashrabjon. In this situation, it is worth betting that the fight will not go the whole distance.
Our forecast is that the match will not be complete in 1.65