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Sporting — Borussia Dortmund: forecast and bets with odds of 3.85
Sporting will host Borussia on February 11 in the first match of the 1/16 Champions League finals. Will the Lions be able to justify their status as favorites and gain a comfortable advantage before the return leg, or will the bumblebees surprise and bid for the 1/8 finals in Lisbon? In the forecast, we analyzed in detail the form in which the teams approach the face-to-face meeting and chose reliable bids. What choice should I make?
Command Analysis
Sporting CP
PortugalCurrent form
Sporting approached the start of the Champions League as a clear and unconditional contender for a place in the playoffs, if they were lucky, the lions could even count on a place in the top eight, the start of the season and the selection of players allowed fans to count on a direct ticket to the 1/8 finals. The Lions started very strongly and the first rounds showed that they can set ambitious goals for themselves.
However, with the departure of Ruben Amorim, Sporting slowed down on all fronts – they made a lot of mistakes in the championship, failed several matches in the Champions League. After a crushing 4-1 victory over Manchester City, the Lions failed in the match against Arsenal (1:5), lost to Brugge (1:2) and Leipzig (1:2), jeopardizing their ability to make it to the playoffs, but at the finish We gathered and finished the league stage on the 23rd line.
In the Portuguese championship, after a strong start, Sporting easily pulled away, and it seemed that it would be impossible for its opponents to overtake it. However, the crisis turned into serious consequences, first the "lions" lost their advantage, then they completely missed the first line. As a result, Ruy Borges's team regained the lead, but a four-point gap from the second Benfica cannot guarantee anything.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hulmann is disqualified. Santos, Goncalves and Katamo are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- Sporting have not lost in their last eight home matches, with five wins and three draws.
- In the last eight home matches, Sporting have scored
- In the last four matches, Sporting have lost against Borussia
Approximate line–up: Israel Fresneda, Diomande, Inacio, Araujo – Morita, Debast – Trincan, Braganza, Kenda – Diekeres.
Borussia Dortmund
GermanyCurrent form
Borussia, like its current rival, was considered one of the main contenders for a place in the top eight before the start of the Champions League – the experience in the international arena and the selection of players allowed the bumblebees to set themselves such tasks. Borussia started very strongly, defeating Brugge (3-0) and Celtic (7-1) in the first rounds, and immediately found themselves among the leaders of the table.
At this rate, Borussia was quite capable of getting a direct ticket to the 1/8 finals, but several mistakes in a row crossed out these plans. In the sixth round, the Bumblebees lost 2-3 to Barcelona at home, and then very unexpectedly and sensationally lost 1-2 to an unmotivated Bologna away. The 3-1 victory over Shakhtar in the last round did not help the bumblebees rise above 10th place in the table.
In the Bundesliga, Borussia has a much more complicated situation – the bet was clearly on the fight for the title, but at the moment the bumblebees occupy only 11th place in the table. In the very first match under Niko Kovac, Borussia lost 1-2 to Stuttgart at home, having suffered their eighth defeat of the season. At the same time, a seven-point gap from fourth-placed Leipzig still leaves a chance of qualifying for the Champions League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Nmecha is injured.
Interesting betting trends
- Borussia have suffered five defeats in their last eight matches.
- In the last 13 matches, Borussia have conceded
- In the last five matches, Borussia have scored
Approximate composition: Male – Ruerson, Jan, Schlotterback, Bansebaini – Zabitzer, Gross – Adeyemi, Brandt, Gittens – Girassi.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The last two matches of Borussia ended with this score
8.40Sporting'sbetwill score in the second half
In the last six matches of Sporting, this bet has been successful.
1.59Bet Borussia will score in the second half
In the last four matches, Borussia scored in the second half.
1.79The bet Total of the second half is more than 1.5 goals
This scenario has been implemented in Borussia's last five matches.
1.95Tip and bets
Sporting is gradually recovering from the change of several mentors – the lions have improved in the championship, with difficulty, but they made it to the Champions League playoffs. Borussia also changed their coach, but so far the castling has not brought any effect, a few days ago the bumblebees lost mediocre at home to Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. In this state, it will be almost impossible to give Sporting a serious fight at Jose Alvalade, where the lions are traditionally especially strong, the hosts look objectively stronger and are quite capable of fighting for victory against such a Borussia.
We believe that the hosts have a better chance of winning. The forecast is the Asian handicap (0) for Sporting. This bet is offered with a coefficient of 1.67
Bet on the total
Sporting will certainly strive only for victory today – even taking into account all the problems of Borussia, which are in abundance, there will not be much to count on Signal Iduna Park without an advantage. Defensively, the Bumblebees are extremely vulnerable, they concede a lot and regularly, and the visitors have at least a chance to stay without conceding goals today. At the same time, Borussia is still very effective in attack and is capable of creating many problems for Sporting's not the most reliable and experienced defense.
The bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals. This bet is offered for 1.75
Combined bid
Sporting is undoubtedly the favorite of the match – the lions are traditionally very strong on their own field, at least they are not inferior to their opponents in class, and they are in good shape. The hosts are quite capable of gaining a minimal advantage in the first meeting, Borussia is on the decline and it will be difficult to suddenly transform in Lisbon. At the same time, it will be almost impossible to beat the bumblebees dry, Borussia is more than effective in attack, and Sporting regularly misses.
The bet is a Sporting victory and both will score. This bet is offered for 3.85
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