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Manchester City – Real Madrid: forecast and bets with odds of 5.00
The match between Manchester City and Real Madrid on February 11 is undoubtedly the highlight of the Champions League 1/16 finals. The rivals did not live up to expectations, they could not go straight to the 1/8 finals, but they remain among the contenders for the trophy. What will be the first game between the grandees at the Etihad? – the answer is in our forecast. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko, Alexander Mostovoy, Dmitry Gradilenko also share their bets on the match
Command Analysis
Manchester City
EnglandCurrent form
Manchester City are having one of their worst seasons in recent years under Josep Guardiola. In the Premier League, the "townspeople" are only in fifth place after 24 rounds, two points behind Chelsea's fourth and at risk of being left without a ticket to the Champions League next season, there is no question of fighting for the title. In the last round, a crushing 1-5 defeat against Arsenal was recorded. In the second half of that meeting, the Gunners had a significant advantage, realizing almost all the created chances. Obviously, the Manchester City defense is not coping with its direct duties – five of the seven shots on goal performed by the Londoners turned out to be scoring.
In the Champions League, Josep Guardiola's team was able to win a ticket to the 1/16 finals only in the final round. We managed to beat Brugge on our own field (3:1). It is impossible not to pay attention to the fact that Manchester City lost almost all matches against top rivals in the Champions League.: 0:2 from Juventus, 2:4 from PSG. In eight rounds played, the "townspeople" scored only 11 points, with which they took 22nd place.
It should be noted that during the winter transfer window, Manchester City signed six players at once. Special attention should be paid to Eintracht's offensive leader Omar Marmush, who is able to successfully prove himself as an attacking midfielder.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bobb, Rodri, Doku and Ake are injured and will not play today.
Interesting betting trends
- In six of Manchester City's last seven matches in the Champions League, at least four goals have been scored.
- In the last 10 games in the Champions League, the "townspeople" have won only three times in regular time.
- In the last five matches, taking into account all tournaments with the participation of Manchester City, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
Provisional squad: Ederson – Lewis, Akanji, Dias, Guardiola – Kovacic – Foden, De Bruyne, Marmos, Savinho – Holland.
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid, like their upcoming opponent, is also having far from the best season, but at least it looks more solid in its national championship than Manchester City in the Premier League. "Creamy" in the Example lead after 23 rounds with a margin of one point from "Atletico". They had a game with the Mattress Pads on the eve of their trip to Manchester. In that meeting, the opponent opened the scoring with a penalty in the first half, but Mbappe scored in the second 45 minutes, and the game ended in a 1-1 draw. Before that, Carlo Ancelotti's team suffered a sensational 0:1 defeat from Espanyol away in the championship.
The tournament path at the general stage of the Champions League for Real Madrid was not easy. The first part of the tournament was poorly conducted by the cream, but in the end, when there was nowhere left to retreat, they managed to achieve success largely due to experience. There was no loss of points in the final three rounds – wins over Atalanta (3:2), Salzburg (5:1) and Brest (3:0). Undoubtedly, we were lucky in some ways with the calendar during this period. As a result, 15 points scored and 11th place.
During the season, Real Madrid has had significant problems with the defensive line. Due to injuries to several high-profile defenders, Ancelotti has to use prop Aurelien Tchuameni as a central defender. At the same time, the attacking trio Vinicius-Mbappe-Rodrigo is in perfect order, any of them is ready to prove themselves to the maximum in a single match, especially today they have to play against Manchester City, which is defensively too vulnerable now.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rudiger, Carvajal, Alaba, Militao and Vazquez will not play in Manchester today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches of Real Madrid, taking into account all tournaments, there was no exchange of goals scored.
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Madrid's previous six Champions League matches.
- In seven of the last eight matches in the Champions League, Real Madrid have conceded
Approximate composition: Courtois – Garcia, Asensio, Tchuameni, Mendy – Valverde, Bellingham, Modric – Rodrigo, Mbappe, Vinicius.
Trends
Manchester City's Corner WinRate
The bet has been successful in 20 of Manchester City's last 22 home matches in the Champions League.
1.55Bet Real Madrid will score in the first half
In three of the previous five face-to-face matches, Madrid scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.87The bet is an accurate score of 2:3
Real Madrid have scored three goals in their last three wins.
21.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last four face-to-face matches, goals have been scored in each of the halves.
1.411st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In Manchester City's three previous matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.70Tip and bets
Manchester City has far from impressive recent results, frequent defensive failures, but today the bookmakers give the "citizens" the status of the favorite. They have the home field factor on their side and the fact that there was no Premier League tour on the weekend, they had a cup match against Leyton Orient, where many of the main squad players got a rest. The Creamers have a tense derby with Atletico under their belt, where, by the way, even with a far from optimal defensive line, they conceded only one goal. In general, Real Madrid has a wealth of experience playing in such a busy schedule, and just because of this, we would not immediately write them off. Madrid's attack is on top, they can take advantage of their chances without any problems, and more than once, given the obvious failures of the hosts in defense. We believe that Galaktikos will have no less chance of winning today than their opponent. Taking into account the set coefficients, we recommend betting on the guests.
Our forecast is for Real Madrid to win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.15
Bet on the total
There is a high probability that the attack will come to the fore today, with which the opponents are doing well, unlike the defense. In two of the three previous face-to-face confrontations, Manchester City and Real Madrid delighted fans with a productive game, scoring more than three goals between the two, which we are waiting for this time.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.72
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
There are two giants of world football with an excellent selection of performers. It is hardly worth waiting for a crushing victory in such a battle. Moreover, this is only the first game of a two-legged confrontation. We are waiting for the victory of the guests with a one-goal advantage.
Forecast – Real Madrid will win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 5.00
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