LiontipsLas Palmas — Villarreal. Forecast (cf 3.35) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Las Palmas continues its difficult performance in 2025, gradually approaching the dangerous relegation zone. In the last round, the team lost to Girona (1:2), extending its unbeaten streak in La Liga to four matches. The pressure on head coach Diego Martinez is increasing, and his words that he "would like the season to end today" only emphasize the difficult situation within the team. Nevertheless, Las Palmas has shown character in recent matches.
Two of the last three defeats were by a minimum score, and in the last home game against Osasuna (1-1), the team managed to avoid defeat. Now the Canarians face the task of improving their results in matches where they are considered underdogs. They can be inspired by their confident 3-0 victory over Villarreal on home soil in January 2024.
Injuries and disqualifications
In the upcoming match against Villarreal, Las Palmas will not be able to count on the following players: Marvin (muscle injury), Juan Cardona (shin injury), Sergio Ramirez (leg injury), Javi Rodriguez (illness), Jaime Mata (yellow card violation), Adnan Januzaj (injury) and Jose Campana (injury).
Interesting betting trends
- Las Palmas have scored in each of the last eight La Liga home games.
- In five of the last six matches with Las Palmas in the league, less than 2.5 goals were scored.
- The Canarians are more active after the break — 70 percent of their goals in home matches were scored in the second half.
- Alvaro Jimenez has scored two assists in the last three games and continues to be a key player in the team's attacking formations.
Provisional squad:Valle Munoz, Marmol, Alex Suarez, Lemoine – Kiryan, Javier, Liodis – Moleiro, Fabio Silva, Alvaro Jimenez
Current form
Villarreal are approaching this match with two extra days to recover from their impressive 5-1 win over Valladolid in the last round. Marcelino's team continues to demonstrate a powerful attacking game, scoring four or more goals in three of the last five La Liga matches. This allows the yellow submarine to stay in the fight for places in the TOP 4 and get closer to the cherished goal of returning to the UEFA Champions League.
This season, Villarreal is second only to Real Madrid and Barcelona in terms of the number of goals scored, and in the first round against Las Palmas they have already demonstrated their strength by beating their opponent 3:1. However, one of the team's problems is the lack of "dry" matches in La Liga away games. Despite this, the "submarine" is not under pressure from expectations, given that their three away wins in the season are comparable to the results of the main favorites of the championship.
Disqualifications and injuries
Against Las Palmas, Villarreal will not be able to count on: Gerard Moreno (injury) and Ilyas Ahomach (knee injury).
Interesting betting trends
- Villarreal have won three of their last four La Liga away matches.
- In five of the last six games with Villarreal, more than 2.5 goals have been scored.
- The Yellow Submarine has opened the scoring in four of the last five face-to-face meetings with Las Palmas.
- Sorlot has scored four goals in the last five matches, including a double in the previous away game.
Approximate composition: Jorgensen – Voigt, Bailly, Albiol, Cuenca – Terrats, Comesanya, Baena – Pinault, Morales – Sorlot.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The guests have completed two of the last ten matches with such a score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the hosts, this betting option took place.
2.05Cornerrate: total less than 9.5
This betting option has been used in 3 of the last 5 Las Palmas matches
1.99Penalty Shootoutrate- no
In two of the last six face-to-face matches, no penalties were awarded.
1.28Tip and bets
The match promises to be spectacular, as both teams have a pronounced attacking style. Las Palmas consistently scores on their own field, having scored at least once in the last eight La Liga home matches. Garcia Pimienta's men prefer to increase the pressure in the second half, when their attack becomes especially dangerous. Key players like Fabio Silva and Alvaro Jimenez can create a lot of problems for the visitors' defense. Villarreal is one of the most productive teams in the championship, second only to Real Madrid and Barcelona in this component.
In the last five La Liga matches, the Yellow Submarine have scored at least four goals three times, which speaks to the fantastic form of their attack. Sorlot and Baena remain key performers, capable of opening up opponents' defenses through speed and individual skill. Historically, face-to-face meetings between these teams rarely go without goals. In four of the last five matches between Las Palmas and Villarreal in La Liga, three or more goals have been scored. Both teams are prone to open play, and problems with defensive reliability can lead to an exchange of goals and high performance.
The forecast is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.81
Betting on the outcome
The match between Las Palmas and Villarreal promises to be difficult for both sides, as the hosts seek to break the unbeaten streak, and the guests continue to fight for places at the top of the table. Despite recent setbacks, Las Palmas is traditionally strong on its own field, where the team demonstrates a fighting spirit and confidence in attack. They have been consistently scoring at home this season, which makes them a dangerous opponent for any team.
Villarreal has a powerful offense, but their away performances leave questions. Marcelino's team has not been able to keep a single "dry" match away in the current La Liga season, and defensive problems may play into the hands of the hosts. It is important to note that Las Palmas already beat Villarreal 3-0 in January 2024, and now they have a chance to repeat their success. Taking into account the home advantage and the unstable away form of the guests, Las Palmas has a good chance of avoiding defeat and even achieving victory.
Prediction — Las Palmas wins with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 3.35
Betting on statistics
Both teams have an attacking style that contributes to a large number of shots on goal. Las Palmas plays combination football, which often leads to long-range attempts, while Villarreal, with their active flankers and striker Alexander Sorlot, regularly creates chances. Recent games have shown that both teams consistently score double-digit shots on goal. This is especially true for Villarreal, which has scored at least 12 shots per game in the last four away La Liga matches.
The forecast is that the total number of shots on goal is more than 22.5 with a coefficient of 1.85
