LiontipsOpelka — Norrie. Forecast and bets for the ATP Dallas match
Command Analysis
Current form
Opelka beat Alexander Shevchenko in two games in the first round of the competition in Dallas (7-6, 6-4). In the confrontation with the representative of Kazakhstan, Reilly made 18 aces, realized one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. The American has six wins in eight matches this season.
Professional qualities
Opelka has one of the best serves of the tour, apart from the retired John Isner and Ivo Karlovic. His second serve is often better than most opponents' first serve. However, its advantages practically end there. The American is slow, moves weakly on the court and has serious problems in draws, especially against fast and aggressive players. Nevertheless, Reilly is working on moving around the court - recall that in Brisbane this year he managed to outrun Novak Djokovic and beat the Serb in two sets.
Current indicators in the tour
Opelka is the 145th racket of the world. When the American was in 17th place in the world ranking. Reilly has won eight trophies in his career, four of which are in the ATP category. He won his last title in 2022 on clay in Houston.
Interesting facts for betting
Opelka has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
Current form
Norrie started the tournament in Dallas with a victory over Alex Mickelsen (2-6, 7-6, 6-1). Cameron made seven aces during the match, made three break points and lost three games on his serve. For the Briton, it was his third win of the season with three losses.
Professional qualities
At the peak of his career, Norrie stood out for his amazing technique and ability to exhaust opponents through tenacity and defensive tennis. He often turned the tide of matches against players of equal class. However, his weak spot has always been the backhand. Over time, this flaw has become even more obvious, and rivals are increasingly using it against the Briton.
Current indicators in the tour
Norrie is the 63rd racket of the world. The Briton's highest position in the world ranking is eighth place. Cameron has won 12 trophies in his career, five of which are in the ATP category. Norrie won his last title in 2023 on the clay courts of Rio de Janeiro.
Interesting facts for betting
Norrie has five wins in his last six fights at Indore.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Opelka's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.61There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of Norrie's 5 previous matches.
2.93Tip and bets
The pollen is gradually returning to its previous level. At the start of the tournament, he confidently beat Shevchenko, demonstrating an impressive game on serve - 18 aces in two sets. It is very difficult to resist such power on a fast hard drive - it seems to us that Norrie will not be able to cope with the attacking potential of the American.
Our forecast is that Opelka will win by a factor of 1.88
Bet on the total
Opelka rarely plays "grassroots" matches. They do happen, of course, but as an exception. We believe that the match against Norrie will be played through the "top". For example, their last face-to-face match ended in two tie-breaks.
The second forecast is a total of more than 24 games for a coefficient of 1.95
Bet on the first set
In three of Norrie's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Opelka will also start with the "grassroots" first game.
The forecast is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 3.55
