LiontipsKovacevich — Mpeshi. Forecast and bets for the ATP Rotterdam match
Command Analysis
Current form
Kovacevic had a good tournament in Montpellier last week. As part of those competitions, the American managed to reach the finals - in the decisive match he lost to Felix Auger-Alliassim. At Indore, Aleksandar has 12 wins this season with only two losses.
Professional qualities
Kovacevich is a typical representative of the American tennis school, where the game is based on serve and forehand. It is these elements that bring him victories. However, in protracted draws, Aleksandar is significantly inferior, which can be a decisive factor in matches against opponents capable of dominating the back line.
Current indicators in the tour
Kovacevich is ranked 75th in the world ranking. This season, the American has already managed to take one trophy to his asset - he won the Indore challenger in Oeiras. It was the fifth title of his career for him.
Interesting facts for betting
Kovacevich has amazing stats at Indore this season, with 12 wins and two losses.
Current form
Mpeshi played one match for France at the Davis Cup last week, beating Brazilian tennis player Mateus Pucinelli in two games. This season, Giovanni has four wins in six matches.
Professional qualities
Mpeshi is a powerful 200 cm tall tennis player with one of the most crushing serves on the tour. At the Brisbane tournament, he consistently hit 15-20 aces per match, which makes him a dangerous opponent on fast surfaces. However, his playing is still far from perfect. The backhand remains a weak link, and despite the efforts of the coaches, this component requires serious improvement.
Current indicators in the tour
Mpeshi is ranked 30th in the world. During his career, the 21-year-old Frenchman has won seven trophies, two of which are in the ATP category. He won these titles last season on clay in Lyon and at the Indore in Basel.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpeshi won 7 of 9 matches against the Americans last season.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Kovacevic's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.57The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes
This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Mpeshi matches.
3.21Tip and bets
Kovacevic is good at Indore this season, with 12 wins and only two losses. However, the American's powers are definitely not unlimited. He fully played the tournament in Montpellier last week - fatigue may affect the upcoming match against Mpeshi with his powerful serve.
Our prediction is that Mpesha will win with a handicap (-3) by a factor of 2.91
Bet on the total
Both tennis players have a good first serve in their arsenal. It can be reasonably assumed that the upcoming match will turn out to be "riding". Nevertheless, we suggest betting less on the total in this pair. After all, Kovacevic fully played the tournament in Montpellier last week and he should have accumulated fatigue, which, it seems to us, will prevent him from playing against Mpesha.
The second forecast is a total of less than 24 games, the coefficient is 2.08
Bet on the first set
In three of Mpeshi's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Kovacevich will also start with the "riding" of the first game.
The forecast is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.29
