LiontipsValencia — Celta. Forecast (cf 3.25) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
After a four-match unbeaten streak (three wins and one draw), Valencia went to Barcelona, where they suffered a crushing defeat with a score of 1:7. This was the first time since 1955 when the team conceded seven goals in a top division match. This defeat left Valencia in the relegation zone with 16 points, which is the second worst result at this stage of the La Liga season after 14 points in the 1982/83 season.
Head coach Carlos Corberan hopes for the support of the fans at the Mestalla, especially after the recent 1-0 home win over Real Sociedad.:0. The team is aiming for two consecutive home league wins for the first time since February 2024. Celta's visit may be welcome, given that Valencia have lost only two of their last 30 home matches against this opponent.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the upcoming match, Valencia will not be able to count on the following players: Hugo Duro (muscle injury), Enzo Barrenechea (foot injury), Thierry Correia (knee injury)
Interesting betting trends
- In the last two face-to-face meetings between Valencia and Celta, both teams scored goals.
- Valencia have scored points in eight of their last ten home games.
- Hugo Duro has scored two of Valencia's last three goals against Celta, including a goal in the corresponding match last season.
Provisional squad: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Dimitri Fulkier, Gabriel Paulista, Christian Mosquera, Jose Gaia, Yunus Musa, Hugo Guillamon, Andre Almeida, Samu Castillejo, Fran Perez, Diego Lopez
Current form
Celta failed to score in their last five visits to Mestalla in La Liga, but beat Valencia 3-1 twice last season – in the Spanish Cup and in the second leg of the championship. Now Claudio Giraldez's team will try to achieve their first victory over the Bats in La Liga since the 1982/83 season. However, the latest guest results leave questions. Celta has not won in four consecutive league matches and remains winless in the last six away games.
In addition, the team has lost seven of its last nine away La Liga matches against clubs in the Valencia region. These indicators indicate the difficulties that the "sky blues" face away from home. Despite this, Celta is capable of creating dangerous moments, especially on the counterattack. The team regularly scores in face-to-face meetings with Valencia, and even if there are problems in defense, they can rely on their attacking actions.
Disqualifications and injuries
Claudio Giraldez will not be able to count on several key players: Gonzalez (injury), Oscar Mingesa (suspension – red card), Iago Aspas (shin injury), Renato Tapia (yellow card bust), Javi Alonso (yellow card bust)
Interesting betting trends
- In four of Celta's last six La Liga matches, more than 2.5 goals have been scored.
- Celta have conceded at least two goals in five of their last seven La Liga away matches.
- In the last three face-to-face matches of these teams in all competitions, both sides scored at least one goal.
Provisional squad: Villar – Manqueyo, Sverberg, Dominguez, Gallian – Moriba, Beltran, Rodriguez – Solis, Servi, Larsen
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three face-to-face matches, goals have been scored in each half.
1.76The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Two of the last ten face-to-face matches ended with this score
12.55Cornerrate: total more than 9.5
This betting option has been used in 2 of the last 4 matches of Valencia
1.99Penalty Shootoutrate- no
In four of the last six face-to-face matches, no penalty was awarded.
1.25Tip and bets
In the upcoming La Liga match between Valencia and Celta, you can expect a productive game with plenty of scoring chances. Both teams have problems defensively, but they have an attacking potential that can lead to a high performance meeting. Valencia, despite the setbacks in the season, traditionally plays aggressively at home. It will be especially important for them to rehabilitate themselves after the crushing defeat by Barcelona.
The team regularly creates chances at the Mestalla, and in the last home match they managed to defeat Real Sociedad (1-0), which underlines their ability to find the keys to the opponent's defense. Celta, in turn, shows an unstable defensive game and often makes mistakes. The visitors have lost seven of their last nine away La Liga matches against clubs in the Valencia region, often conceding two or more goals. However, Celta's attacking line is still capable of causing problems for the defense of the hosts, especially considering their results in face-to-face meetings: in the last three matches between Valencia and Celta, both teams scored at least one goal each. Both sides need points and are unlikely to play cautiously. The open style of the match and the defensive problems of both teams make it logical to bet on a high total of goals.
Our forecast is a total of more than 2.5 goals. We bet on this outcome with a coefficient of 1.90
Betting on the outcome
The match at the Mestalla between Valencia and Celta could be a great opportunity for the hosts to consolidate their position in the standings. Despite the unstable season, Valencia shows character in their home matches and strives to use the home stadium factor. In the last game at the Mestalla, they managed to beat the strong Real Sociedad (1-0), which underlines their ability to achieve results in front of their fans. Celta, in turn, is experiencing serious difficulties on the road. The visitors have not won in the last six away matches of La Liga, and they also traditionally play poorly against teams from the Valencia region, having lost seven of the last nine meetings. In addition, Celta is approaching this match with personnel losses, which may affect their game. Historically, Valencia feels confident in their home matches against Celta, and in this match they have every chance to succeed again.
Our forecast is a victory for Valencia. We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.40
Betting on statistics
The match is expected to be active, as both teams are experiencing defensive problems and are striving for aggressive play in attack. Valencia always relies on pressure at the Mestalla, which leads to a lot of shots on target. In recent home matches, the hosts have averaged more than four shots on target per game. Celta, despite their poor away results, also creates chances. In the last five away games, they have shot on target at least three times. In addition, this season, Celta is actively using long-range shots, which increases the likelihood of hitting the target. Both teams are in a situation where points are extremely important to them, which means that we can expect a double-edged game with many attempts to shoot at the goal.
The forecast is for shots on target to exceed 8.5. This option can be found for a factor of 1.95
