LiontipsBarcelona — Alaves. Forecast (cf 4.50) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
After a successful 2-2 draw with Atalanta in the Champions League, which finally secured their entry into the 1/8 finals, Barcelona returns to internal affairs with the explicit goal of rehabilitating itself for failures in La Liga. The Catalans are lagging behind the tournament leader Real Madrid and cannot afford to lose points, especially in home matches. At first glance, an eight-match unbeaten streak in all competitions looks impressive, but if you look deeper, you can see that Barca have won only two of their last nine matches in La Liga.
Nevertheless, Hansi Flick's team is able to use the recent defeat of Valencia (7:1) as motivation. In addition, the statistics of personal meetings with Alaves are encouraging — the Catalans have not lost to this opponent for 14 matches, which is their longest streak against any club in the elite of Spanish football. Now Barca face the task of not only extending their successful streak against Alaves, but also continuing their pursuit of the La Liga leaders.
Injuries and disqualifications
Barcelona will not be able to count on a number of key players in the upcoming match: Dani Olmo (shin injury), Inigo Martinez (hamstring injury), Marc-Andre ter Stegen (knee injury), Andreas Christensen (shin injury), Pau Bernal (knee injury)
Interesting betting trends
- Robert Lewandowski continues to be Barcelona's main attacking force, regularly featuring in La Liga matches.
- The Catalans have opened the scoring in the last nine La Liga home matches, which has often led to victory.
- Barcelona have won their last eight home matches in all competitions, with more than 3.5 goals scored in 72 of them.
- In the last five meetings against Alaves, the Catalans have consistently won, keeping their goal intact in four of them.
- In matches involving Barcelona, an average of 2.9 goals per game has been recorded this La Liga season, indicating a trend towards high performance.
Approximate composition: Inaki Peña – Jules Cunde, Ronald Araujo, Pau Kubarsi, Alejandro Balde – Pedri, Frankie de Jong – Rafinha, Ilkay Gundogan, Lamin Yamal – Robert Lewandowski
Current form
Alaves is experiencing an improvement in its away form, having not lost in the last three La Liga matches on home soil. This series contrasts with their previous failures, when the team lost six away games in a row. Especially noteworthy was their 3-1 victory over Betis, where forward Quique Garcia scored a magnificent hat-trick, showing excellent form. However, the problems in defense remain.
Alaves have conceded a lot of goals this season, becoming one of the most conceding teams in La Liga. With the exception of two teams, Alaves have conceded the most in the league, and they have not kept a goal dry in away matches for 13 consecutive games — their worst result since 2021. Despite these problems, the team shows character and strives to continue fighting for points, especially on the road, where, despite their weak defense, they demonstrate decent attacking potential.
Injuries and disqualifications
The following players will not be able to help Alaves in the match against Barcelona: Joan Jordan (muscle injury), Sivera (arm injury), Abkar (yellow card busting)
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of the last ten Alaves home matches, more than two goals have been scored, which indicates a tendency towards productive games.
- Carlos Vicente continues to be distinguished by his goals: four of the last five goals were either the first or the last in the game.
- Alaves have only won once in their last 11 La Liga matches, which indicates problems with consistency of results.
- In half of the matches led by Gabriel Kudet, Alaves fought back after conceding a goal, which confirms their ability to fight to the end.
Provisional squad: Ovono – Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay– Guevara, Benavidez, Romero, Rioja– Garcia, Vicente
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 4:1
The guests have completed two of the last ten matches with such a score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 guest matches, this betting option was played.
2.15Cornerrate: total more than 9.5
This betting option has been used in 3 of the last 5 matches of Alaves
1.99The bid is the number 1 in the invoice
In two of the last five matches, the guests had the number one in the score.
1.69Tip and bets
The match between Barcelona and Alaves at Olimpiyskiy promises to be interesting, but with a clear advantage in the attacking potential of the home team. Barcelona continues to confidently demonstrate their attacking game, despite the imperfect results in La Liga. They have a strong attack, but their defense looks vulnerable at times, which gives the opponents a chance to counterattack. In matches against weaker teams such as Alaves, the Catalans often show their dominance despite conceding goals.
Alaves, in turn, despite some positive results in away games, is unlikely to be able to create enough problems for Barcelona's defense. In recent away games, Alaves has suffered from poor execution, and their defense has missed quite often. This is especially evident when the team is facing stronger opponents. Taking these factors into account, the probability that only one team will score in the match looks high.
The forecast is that both teams will score (no). We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.05
Betting on the outcome
The La Liga match between Barcelona and Alaves is a good opportunity for Barcelona to regain their confidence in the championship. Hansi Flick's team has been demonstrating stability in recent weeks, especially at their home stadium, where they look much stronger than their rivals. Despite the personnel losses, Barcelona's attacking potential remains at a high level, and they can easily win with a comfortable advantage. Alaves, despite recent successes on the road, is unlikely to be able to compete with a more powerful opponent. Their defense continues to make mistakes, especially in games against top clubs, which increases the chances of a major defeat. Taking into account the current form of both teams and the difference in class, the forecast for Barcelona's victory with a three-goal difference looks quite justified.
The forecast is for Barcelona to win by three goals. We bet on it with a coefficient of 4.50
Betting on statistics
The match is likely to be full of attacking actions from Barcelona, which actively uses the flanks in home games and creates a large number of chances. Alaves, in turn, will try to organize the defense, but their weak defense can lead to a large number of corners at the gate. In recent games, Barcelona have often scored more than nine corners at their stadium, and given their aggressive tactics, we can expect a large number of standard positions.
The forecast is that the total number of corners is more than 10.5. We bet on it with a coefficient of 1.90
