LiontipsArsenal vs Manchester City. Forecast (3.90) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
After unsuccessful cup confrontations with Newcastle and Manchester United, Mikel Arteta's team had a winless streak of five matches – four wins and one draw. On a positive note, we managed to complete the overall stage of the Champions League with victories over Dinamo Zagreb (3:0) and Girona (2:1). As a result, Arsenal took third place in the main European club tournament with 19 points and will start in the playoffs immediately from the 1/8 finals. On the same playing segment, the Londoners in the Premier League defeated Tottenham (2:1) and Wolverhampton (1:0) in the derby, and also parted ways with Aston Villa (2:2). In general, there are no serious problems with the current form on the eve of the main battle with Manchester City. It should be noted that Arteta is trying to rotate, and he gave some leaders a break with Girona.
In the standings, Arsenal is currently in second place with 47 points. It is possible to break away from Nottingham Forest only in terms of additional indicators, the gap from the leading Liverpool is nine points, both competitors have played their matches of the 24th round and won them.
As usual, Arsenal has been one of the best teams in the Premier League in terms of home-field play for several seasons now. At the moment, the Pushkari are the only ones in the championship who do not have a single defeat on the home arena – seven wins and four draws. It should be noted that at the Emirates, the Londoners play reliably in defense – only nine goals conceded in 11 meetings.
Disqualifications and injuries
White, Tomiyasu, Saka and Jesus will not play today due to injuries. It should be noted that Lewis-Skelly's three-match suspension for a red card in the previous round with Wolverhampton was canceled by the decision of the Independent Regulatory Commission of the Football Association of England.
Interesting betting trends
- In the previous five matches, Arsenal had not lost in the first half.
- In seven of Arsenal's last ten Premier League matches, no more than three goals have been scored.
- Arsenal players have been offside more often than their opponents in four of the last five matches.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Magalhaes, Calafiori - Edegor, Partie, Rice – Trossard, Havertz, Martinelli.
Current form
Manchester City had a key Champions League match against Brugge this week. Given the unenviable tournament position, Guardiola could not afford to rotate the squad, all the strongest players played. The game turned out to be difficult, the Belgians led 1-0 in the score after the first half, but in the second 45 minutes they could not hold the advantage, in many ways they lacked experience and self-confidence. The 3-1 victory brought the "townspeople" to the 1/16 Champions League from the 22nd line - this is clearly not the result that was originally expected. There is a battle ahead with Real Madrid, which also did not fully meet expectations and forecasts.
In the Premier League, Manchester City managed to stabilize the game and results, joined the fight for the top four, from which they dropped out amid the recent crisis. At the moment, the "townspeople" in the Premier League are on a six–match winless streak - four wins and two draws. In the last round, we managed to beat Chelsea 3-1 on our own field, although the opponent opened the scoring at the start. The team has 41 points and the fourth place in the table. Newcastle, who are fifth, have the same number of points, having lost their match in the 24th round. Today there is a chance to break away from the pursuer and, accordingly, get within three points of Arsenal and Nottingham Forest. There is no talk of fighting for the championship anymore – the gap from Liverpool is 15 points.
Throughout the season, Manchester City has not been playing well in away matches. We managed to win only five of the 12 matches in other arenas.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri, Ake, Diaz and Doku will not play today due to injuries. Bobb's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three matches in a row, Manchester City has not won in the first half.
- In eight of the ten previous matches of the "citizens" in the Premier League, at least three goals were scored.
- Both teams scored goals in seven of Manchester City's previous nine Premier League matches.
- In the last six matches, Manchester City have scored more shots on goal than their opponents.
Approximate squad: Ederson – Nunez, Akanji, Stones, Guardiola – Silva, Kovacic, Gundogan – Foden, Holland, Marmush.
Trends
Arsenal's Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 2.5
Arsenal's players have not received more than two warnings in six of the last seven face-to-face matches in their Premier League matches.
1.50Bet Arsenal will score in the first half
In the last two meetings, the "townspeople" missed in the opening 45 minutes.
1.77The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Arsenal have scored two of their last four wins with this score
8.50Arsenal's Offside Winrate
Arsenal have won four of their last five matches on the sidelines.
1.35Arsenal's Corner WinRate
In the previous four matches, Arsenal's players have served more from the corner flag than their opponents.
1.62Tip and bets
Last week, both teams played in the Champions League, due to the tournament position, Guardiola could not afford to rotate, unlike Arteta. Arsenal have not lost on their own field in the Premier League this season, while Manchester City often misfires away, especially in matches against serious rivals. We can recall the away defeats against Aston Villa and Liverpool. Of course, the "townspeople" overcame the crisis, but from time to time you can see incomprehensible failures in their matches, as it was in the Champions League with PSG. The Gunners, in general, are more stable, due to which they are able to take three points on their own field today.
Our forecast is for Arsenal to win by a factor of 1.98
Bet on the total
The opponents have a powerful attacking line and are quite capable of scoring goals at the Emirates today. Arsenal have not left the field in six consecutive matches without scoring goals, Manchester City - in 11 matches in a row. In addition, the bet on both goals was successful in four of the last six face-to-face confrontations.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.64
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In three of the last four winning matches, Arsenal have won with a one-goal advantage. This is not to say that there is a significant difference in class between the opponents, so that you can expect to win with an advantage of more than one goal.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.90
